Football · Serbia Super Liga · 29/08, 18:00
Prediction: Partizan Belgrade vs OFK Beograd
Team pages: Partizan Belgrade · OFK Beograd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Partizan Belgrade1.82
OFK Beograd0.87
1X2
Partizan Belgrade
Draw
OFK Beograd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Partizan Belgrade
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
OFK Beograd
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partizan Belgrade
2–2–2
OFK Beograd
(6 last)
- Partizan Belgrade1-1OFK Beograd
- Partizan Belgrade1-2OFK Beograd
- OFK Beograd0-2Partizan Belgrade
- Partizan Belgrade2-2OFK Beograd
- Partizan Belgrade4-1OFK Beograd
- OFK Beograd3-2Partizan Belgrade
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partizan Belgrade 1557 · OFK Beograd 1512
| Partizan Belgrade | Draw | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1557 vs 1512).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partizan Belgrade | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizan Belgrade 2–2–2 OFK Beograd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 1-1 HT 1-1 | OFK Beograd |
| 28/02/26 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 1-2 HT 1-1 | OFK Beograd |
| 27/09/25 Serbia Super Liga | OFK Beograd | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 23/04/25 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 2-2 HT 2-2 | OFK Beograd |
| 15/02/25 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 4-1 HT 3-0 | OFK Beograd |
| 15/09/24 Serbia Super Liga | OFK Beograd | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Partizan Belgrade |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | FK Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | FK Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | FK Macva Sabac | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Partizan Belgrade | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partizan Belgrade | OFK Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| FK Radnik Surdulica | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Cukaricki | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| FK Novi Pazar | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Crvena Zvezda | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Vojvodina | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Partizan Belgrade (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partizan Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
OFK Beograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/04 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partizan Belgrade vs OFK Beograd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Partizan Belgrade win (60%). Probabilities: Partizan Belgrade 60%, draw 23%, OFK Beograd 17%.
How many goals are expected in Partizan Belgrade vs OFK Beograd?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Partizan Belgrade 1.82 · OFK Beograd 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Partizan Belgrade vs OFK Beograd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.