Football · Serbia Super Liga · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Cukaricki

Team pages: FK Radnik Surdulica · FK Cukaricki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

FK Radnik Surdulica1.31

FK Cukaricki1.11

1X2

40% 29% 31%

FK Radnik Surdulica Draw FK Cukaricki

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Radnik Surdulica 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDDLWWL

FK Cukaricki 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWDWLL

Head-to-head

FK Radnik Surdulica 1–3–2 FK Cukaricki (6 last)

FK Cukaricki2-2FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Cukaricki1-1FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnik Surdulica3-1FK Cukaricki
FK Radnik Surdulica0-3FK Cukaricki
FK Cukaricki0-0FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnik Surdulica0-1FK Cukaricki

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Radnik Surdulica 1484 · FK Cukaricki 1482

	FK Radnik Surdulica	Draw	FK Cukaricki
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Cukaricki: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Radnik Surdulica	FK Cukaricki
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +8’	2.30	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnik Surdulica 1–3–2 FK Cukaricki

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Radnik Surdulica
13/12/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
09/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Cukaricki
09/02/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Cukaricki
27/08/23 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
04/05/23 Serbia Cup	FK Radnik Surdulica	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Cukaricki

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	5	5	0	0	16	1	15
2	Vojvodina	7	5	0	2	15	6	15
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	7	4	1	2	10	4	13
4	FK Cukaricki	7	3	1	3	9	12	10
5	Mladost Lucani	7	2	4	1	7	6	10
6	FK Radnicki 1923	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
7	OFK Beograd	6	2	2	2	7	9	8
8	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	5	2	2	1	9	5	8
9	FK Radnik Surdulica	6	2	2	2	6	9	8
10	FK Novi Pazar	7	2	2	3	5	8	8
11	FK Macva Sabac	7	2	1	4	5	13	7
12	Radnicki Nis	6	1	2	3	3	6	5
13	Partizan Belgrade	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
14	FK Zemun	7	0	1	6	2	14	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Radnik Surdulica	FK Cukaricki
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	1-5 L	0-0 D
Vojvodina	1-2 L	0-5 L
OFK Beograd	0-0 D	2-0 W
Mladost Lucani	1-1 D	2-2 D
Partizan Belgrade	0-5 L	0-0 D
Crvena Zvezda	0-0 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Cukaricki (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Radnik Surdulica

LDDLDDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-5	1	6	L
23/08	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
15/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
09/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
25/07	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
19/07	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
23/05	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
17/05	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
09/05	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
04/05	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-4	7	5	L

FK Cukaricki

LDDLWWDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-5	12	4	L
23/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
15/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
09/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
01/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	3-0	3-0	1	5	W
25/07	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
19/07	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
22/05	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/05	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
08/05	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Cukaricki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnik Surdulica win (40%). Probabilities: FK Radnik Surdulica 40%, draw 29%, FK Cukaricki 31%.

How many goals are expected in FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Cukaricki?

The model expects 2.42 goals (FK Radnik Surdulica 1.31 · FK Cukaricki 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Cukaricki?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.