Football · Serbia Super Liga · 29/08, 18:00
Prediction: IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani
Team pages: IMT Novi Belgrade · Mladost Lucani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
IMT Novi Belgrade1.27
Mladost Lucani0.71
1X2
IMT Novi Belgrade
Draw
Mladost Lucani
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
IMT Novi Belgrade
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Mladost Lucani
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IMT Novi Belgrade
2–2–2
Mladost Lucani
(6 last)
- IMT Novi Belgrade0-1Mladost Lucani
- IMT Novi Belgrade1-1Mladost Lucani
- IMT Novi Belgrade1-3Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani1-1IMT Novi Belgrade
- IMT Novi Belgrade3-0Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani1-2IMT Novi Belgrade
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IMT Novi Belgrade 1523 · Mladost Lucani 1603
| IMT Novi Belgrade | Draw | Mladost Lucani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mladost Lucani (rating 1523 vs 1603).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IMT Novi Belgrade | Mladost Lucani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IMT Novi Belgrade 2–2–2 Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Europe Friendlies | IMT Novi Belgrade | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mladost Lucani |
| 19/04/26 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Mladost Lucani |
| 23/11/25 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Mladost Lucani |
| 20/07/25 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 1-1 HT 1-1 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 09/03/25 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Mladost Lucani |
| 04/12/24 Serbia Cup | Mladost Lucani | 1-2 HT 1-1 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | FK Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | FK Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | FK Macva Sabac | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Partizan Belgrade | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IMT Novi Belgrade | Mladost Lucani |
|---|---|---|
| FK Radnicki 1923 | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Partizan Belgrade | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FK Backa Topola | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Spartak Subotica | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Javor Ivanjica | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Radnicki Nis | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Napredak | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mladost Lucani (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IMT Novi Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 08/04 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 08/04 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IMT Novi Belgrade win (50%). Probabilities: IMT Novi Belgrade 50%, draw 30%, Mladost Lucani 21%.
How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani?
The model expects 1.97 goals (IMT Novi Belgrade 1.27 · Mladost Lucani 0.71), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.