Football · Italy Serie A · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Fiorentina vs Torino

Team pages: Fiorentina · Torino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Fiorentina1.45
Torino0.91
1X2
49% 29% 23%
Fiorentina Draw Torino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fiorentina 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLDWDLL
Torino 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWDDLWLDLL
Head-to-head
Fiorentina 2–4–0 Torino (6 last)
  • Fiorentina2-2Torino
  • Torino0-0Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina1-1Torino
  • Torino0-1Fiorentina
  • Torino0-0Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina1-0Torino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fiorentina 1526 · Torino 1523
FiorentinaDrawTorino
Our model49%29%22%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fiorentina: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FiorentinaTorino
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.31.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 41.7 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.23 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorentina 240 Torino

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
Italy Serie A
Fiorentina2-2
HT 0-1
Torino
31/08/25
Italy Serie A
Torino0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
19/01/25
Italy Serie A
Fiorentina1-1
HT 1-0
Torino
03/11/24
Italy Serie A
Torino0-1
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
02/03/24
Italy Serie A
Torino0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
29/12/23
Italy Serie A
Fiorentina1-0
HT 0-0
Torino

Standings · Italy Serie A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AC Milan 2200 416
2 Juventus 2200 306
3 Udinese 2110 434
4 Roma 1100 403
5 Inter Milan 1100 413
6 Frosinone 2101 313
7 Napoli 1100 203
7 Lecce 1100 203
9 Atalanta 1100 213
10 Cagliari 1100 103
10 Lazio 1100 103
12 Sassuolo 2101 333
13 Como 1010 111
14 Bologna 1001 010
15 Torino 2002 240
16 Genoa 1001 020
17 Parma 2002 030
18 Monza 2002 370
19 Venezia 2002 040
20 Fiorentina 2002 070

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFiorentinaTorino
Juventus 2-0 W 2-2 D
Sassuolo 0-0 D 1-2 L
Verona 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fiorentina (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fiorentina

WWDDLDWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-3 86 L
24/08 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-4 34 L
22/05 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 32 D
17/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 24 W
10/05 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 40 D
04/05 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-3 0-4 54 L
26/04 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 73 D
20/04 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 26 D
13/04 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 55 W
04/04 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 16 W

Torino

WWDDLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 21 L
24/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 63 D
17/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 12 L
08/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 76 W
02/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 22 L
26/04 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 53 D
19/04 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 13 D
11/04 Verona
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 35 W
05/04 Pisa
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 21 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fiorentina vs Torino?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fiorentina win (49%). Probabilities: Fiorentina 49%, draw 29%, Torino 23%.

How many goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Torino?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Fiorentina 1.45 · Torino 0.91), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Torino?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.