Prediction: Inter Milan vs Napoli
Team pages: Inter Milan · Napoli
- Inter Milan2-2Napoli
- Napoli3-1Inter Milan
- Napoli1-1Inter Milan
- Inter Milan1-1Napoli
- Inter Milan1-1Napoli
- Napoli0-1Inter Milan
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1635 vs 1565).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Milan | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 3.4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Milan 1–4–1 Napoli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Napoli |
| 25/10/25 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Milan |
| 01/03/25 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Milan |
| 10/11/24 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Napoli |
| 17/03/24 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Napoli |
| 22/01/24 Italy Super Cup | Napoli | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Milan |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Milan | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 3-3 D | 2-3 L |
| Lazio | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Parma | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cagliari | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Como | 4-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Monza Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 05/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Napoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Milan vs Napoli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Milan win (54%). Probabilities: Inter Milan 54%, draw 26%, Napoli 20%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Milan vs Napoli?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Inter Milan 1.76 · Napoli 1), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Milan vs Napoli?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.