Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 02/10, 22:30

Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Vinotinto Ecuador

Team pages: San Antonio FC Cotacachi · Vinotinto Ecuador

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.77

Vinotinto Ecuador1.33

1X2

21% 29% 49%

San Antonio FC Cotacachi Draw Vinotinto Ecuador

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDLLLL

Vinotinto Ecuador 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWWWWW

Head-to-head

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1–4–1 Vinotinto Ecuador (6 last)

Vinotinto Ecuador4-2San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Vinotinto Ecuador0-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Vinotinto Ecuador
Vinotinto Ecuador0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Vinotinto Ecuador
Vinotinto Ecuador0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1471 · Vinotinto Ecuador 1550

	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Draw	Vinotinto Ecuador
Our model	20%	31%	49%
Market	22%	28%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vinotinto Ecuador (rating 1471 vs 1550).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Vinotinto Ecuador
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.2	2.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.25

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +6’	4.10	3.25	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1–4–1 Vinotinto Ecuador

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	4-2 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
29/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	0-1 HT 0-1	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
07/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 1-1	Vinotinto Ecuador
13/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
23/07/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 0-0	Vinotinto Ecuador
21/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vinotinto Ecuador	27	13	7	7	36	21	46
2	Atletico FC Guayaquil	27	11	13	3	33	18	46
3	Club 9 de Octubre	27	11	12	4	31	19	45
4	Independiente Juniors	27	11	11	5	33	23	44
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	27	10	8	9	22	29	38
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	27	7	11	9	26	32	32

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Vinotinto Ecuador
Club 9 de Octubre	0-3 L	1-0 W
CD Cuenca Jrs	0-1 L	2-0 W
Atletico FC Guayaquil	0-3 L	1-0 W
Independiente Juniors	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vinotinto Ecuador (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

DWWWDDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
16/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-4	2	6	L
27/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
13/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
22/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Vinotinto Ecuador

LLWDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	3-2	1	8	W
17/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
11/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	2-0	5	7	W
03/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	4-2	10	6	W
27/08	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
22/08	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/08	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
08/08	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/07	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
23/07	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Vinotinto Ecuador?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vinotinto Ecuador win (49%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 21%, draw 29%, Vinotinto Ecuador 49%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Vinotinto Ecuador?

The model expects 2.11 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.77 · Vinotinto Ecuador 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Vinotinto Ecuador?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.