Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 22/10, 20:30
Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre
Team pages: San Antonio FC Cotacachi · Club 9 de Octubre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.62
Club 9 de Octubre1.49
1X2
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Draw
Club 9 de Octubre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 17%
Recent form · 10 last
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Club 9 de Octubre
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
0–3–3
Club 9 de Octubre
(6 last)
- Club 9 de Octubre3-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi0-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre2-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- Club 9 de Octubre1-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi2-2Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre1-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1454 · Club 9 de Octubre 1515
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Draw | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 29% | 57% |
| Market | 15% | 27% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1454 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.1 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0–3–3 Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-0 HT 2-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 20/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 21/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 01/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 02/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 25/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 55 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 48 |
| 4 | Club 9 de Octubre | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 48 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 39 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 36 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Club 9 de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC Cotacachi (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/10 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 02/10 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/10 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 13 | D |
| 28/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club 9 de Octubre win (57%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 15%, draw 28%, Club 9 de Octubre 57%.
How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model expects 2.11 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.62 · Club 9 de Octubre 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.