Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 25/08, 16:00

Prediction: FK Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch

Team pages: FK Andijan · Xorazm Urganch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

FK Andijan1.55

Xorazm Urganch0.75

1X2

56% 27% 18%

FK Andijan Draw Xorazm Urganch

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Andijan 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWWWL

Xorazm Urganch 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWLDLW

Head-to-head

FK Andijan 6–0 Xorazm Urganch (6 last)

Xorazm Urganch0-3FK Andijan
FK Andijan3-2Xorazm Urganch
Xorazm Urganch2-3FK Andijan
FK Andijan3-1Xorazm Urganch
Xorazm Urganch0-1FK Andijan
FK Andijan2-1Xorazm Urganch

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Andijan 1523 · Xorazm Urganch 1500

	FK Andijan	Draw	Xorazm Urganch
Our model	55%	28%	17%
Market	56%	26%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Andijan: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Andijan	Xorazm Urganch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.3	1.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.67 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +1’	1.60	3.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +1’	1.67	3.46	5.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Andijan 6–0–0 Xorazm Urganch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Uzbekistan PFL	Xorazm Urganch	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Andijan
21/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	3-2 HT 3-1	Xorazm Urganch
26/06/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Xorazm Urganch	2-3 HT 1-1	FK Andijan
16/11/22 Uzbekistan Play-Offs	FK Andijan	3-1 HT 0-0	Xorazm Urganch
16/10/22 Uzbekistan Play-Offs	Xorazm Urganch	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Andijan
12/06/22 Uzbekistan 1st Division	FK Andijan	2-1 HT 1-0	Xorazm Urganch

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	11	9	1	1	25	3	28
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	11	8	2	1	22	12	26
3	FK Buxoro	11	6	2	3	15	11	20
4	Navbahor Namangan	11	6	2	3	14	8	20
5	FC Bunyodkor	11	6	1	4	13	11	19
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	11	5	2	4	14	14	17
7	AGMK	11	4	4	3	14	14	16
8	FK Andijan	11	5	1	5	16	11	16
9	Nasaf Qarshi	11	3	5	3	12	11	14
10	Xorazm Urganch	11	3	4	4	9	13	13
11	Qizilqum Zarafshon	11	4	1	6	8	15	13
12	Termez Surkhon	11	3	3	5	11	18	12
13	Dinamo Samarqand	11	3	2	6	17	21	11
14	FK Kokand 1912	11	2	5	4	10	15	11
15	Sogdiana Jizzakh	11	2	3	6	19	25	9
16	Mashal Mubarek	11	0	0	11	4	21	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Andijan	Xorazm Urganch
Dinamo Samarqand	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Bunyodkor	3-1 W	1-2 L
FK Kokand 1912	0-0 D	2-2 D
Mashal Mubarek	2-0 W	2-0 W
Neftchi Fergana	0-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Andijan

LWLLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
04/05	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
28/04	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
24/04	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-1	2	1	W
19/04	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
12/04	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
07/04	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
03/04	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/03	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
10/03	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-3	1	1	L

Xorazm Urganch

DLWDDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
04/05	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
29/04	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
24/04	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
18/04	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
14/04	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
07/04	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
03/04	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
18/03	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
11/03	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Andijan win (56%). Probabilities: FK Andijan 56%, draw 27%, Xorazm Urganch 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch?

The model expects 2.31 goals (FK Andijan 1.55 · Xorazm Urganch 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.