Prediction: Lecce vs Roma
- Roma1-0Lecce
- Lecce0-2Roma
- Lecce0-1Roma
- Roma4-1Lecce
- Lecce0-0Roma
- Roma2-1Lecce
| Lecce | Draw | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 23% | 64% |
| Market | 12% | 24% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (rating 1515 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Roma: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lecce | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.3 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lecce 0–1–5 Roma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie A | Roma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lecce |
| 06/01/26 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Roma |
| 29/03/25 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Roma |
| 07/12/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Lecce |
| 01/04/24 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Roma |
| 05/11/23 Italy Serie A | Roma | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Lecce |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Frosinone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Venezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lecce | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Verona | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Fiorentina | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Bologna | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Atalanta | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lecce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Roma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lecce vs Roma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Roma win (64%). Probabilities: Lecce 12%, draw 24%, Roma 64%.
How many goals are expected in Lecce vs Roma?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Lecce 0.69 · Roma 1.87), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Roma?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.