Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 25/08, 20:00

Prediction: San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes

Team pages: San Martin De Burzaco · Argentino Quilmes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.76Total

San Martin De Burzaco0.92

Argentino Quilmes0.84

1X2

35% 34% 30%

San Martin De Burzaco Draw Argentino Quilmes

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin De Burzaco 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWWWLL

Argentino Quilmes 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDWWDD

Head-to-head

San Martin De Burzaco 1–1–4 Argentino Quilmes (6 last)

Argentino Quilmes3-0San Martin De Burzaco
Argentino Quilmes2-1San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco2-0Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes3-0San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco0-0Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes1-0San Martin De Burzaco

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin De Burzaco 1492 · Argentino Quilmes 1518

	San Martin De Burzaco	Draw	Argentino Quilmes
Our model	34%	36%	30%
Market	36%	33%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 1.76 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Argentino Quilmes: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin De Burzaco	Argentino Quilmes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.70

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 1.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:06 +4’	2.50	2.70	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin De Burzaco 1–1–4 Argentino Quilmes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	3-0 HT 1-0	San Martin De Burzaco
23/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	2-1 HT 1-0	San Martin De Burzaco
06/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 HT 1-0	Argentino Quilmes
13/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	3-0 HT 1-0	San Martin De Burzaco
28/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-0 HT 0-0	Argentino Quilmes
03/04/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	1-0 HT 0-0	San Martin De Burzaco

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	20	12	5	3	27	11	41
2	Talleres Remedios	20	11	5	4	22	10	38
3	Villa Dalmine	20	10	7	3	24	10	37
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	20	10	7	3	27	14	37
5	Atletico Camioneros	20	9	7	4	21	14	34
6	Sportivo Italiano	20	9	6	5	21	17	33
7	Real Pilar	20	9	4	7	23	22	31
8	Deportivo Merlo	20	8	7	5	24	24	31
9	Club Comunicaciones	20	8	6	6	23	20	30
10	San Martin De Burzaco	20	7	7	6	22	19	28
11	Deportivo Armenio	20	7	4	9	21	25	25
12	Argentino Merlo	20	6	6	8	14	17	24
13	Deportivo Laferrere	20	6	6	8	21	27	24
14	CS Dock Sud	20	5	8	7	20	18	23
15	Argentino Quilmes	20	5	8	7	19	19	23
16	Defensores Unidos	20	5	8	7	18	21	23
17	Deportivo Liniers	20	6	5	9	13	20	23
18	CSD Flandria	20	6	4	10	16	24	22
19	UAI Urquiza	20	3	11	6	12	16	20
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	20	4	7	9	12	23	19
21	Villa San Carlos	20	3	7	10	19	27	16
22	CA Ituzaingo	20	1	5	14	14	35	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Martin De Burzaco	Argentino Quilmes
Excursionistas	0-2 L	2-2 D
Deportivo Armenio	1-1 D	1-1 D
CSD Flandria	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Argentino Quilmes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin De Burzaco

LDDWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
06/06	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
27/05	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
23/05	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
16/05	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/05	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
02/05	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
26/04	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/04	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	7	6	L

Argentino Quilmes

DLLDWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
14/06	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
06/06	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
01/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	11	W
27/05	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
23/05	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
17/05	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
10/05	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
03/05	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
25/04	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin De Burzaco win (35%). Probabilities: San Martin De Burzaco 35%, draw 34%, Argentino Quilmes 30%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

The model expects 1.76 goals (San Martin De Burzaco 0.92 · Argentino Quilmes 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.