Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Club Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo

Team pages: Club Comunicaciones · Deportivo Merlo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.93Total

Club Comunicaciones1.18

Deportivo Merlo0.75

1X2

46% 32% 23%

Club Comunicaciones Draw Deportivo Merlo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Comunicaciones 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDLDWL

Deportivo Merlo 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLDLDDL

Head-to-head

Club Comunicaciones 2–2–2 Deportivo Merlo (6 last)

Deportivo Merlo2-0Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones1-2Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Merlo0-2Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones2-0Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Merlo0-0Club Comunicaciones
Deportivo Merlo1-1Club Comunicaciones

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Comunicaciones 1484 · Deportivo Merlo 1468

	Club Comunicaciones	Draw	Deportivo Merlo
Our model	45%	33%	22%
Market	46%	31%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Comunicaciones	Deportivo Merlo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	11/78/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	1.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X2.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:24 +6’	1.95	2.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Comunicaciones 2–2–2 Deportivo Merlo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	2-0 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones
05/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Merlo
15/02/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	0-2 HT 0-1	Club Comunicaciones
06/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Merlo
17/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	0-0 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones
24/06/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	1-1 HT 0-1	Club Comunicaciones

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	32	18	8	6	49	24	62
2	Atletico Camioneros	32	16	11	5	39	20	59
3	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
5	Talleres Remedios	32	16	9	7	34	17	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
8	Deportivo Laferrere	32	12	9	11	38	41	45
9	Deportivo Armenio	32	12	8	12	34	37	44
10	Club Comunicaciones	32	11	10	11	32	31	43
11	CS Dock Sud	32	9	13	10	36	34	40
12	Argentino Merlo	32	10	10	12	30	32	40
13	San Martin De Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
14	Deportivo Merlo	32	9	12	11	34	47	39
15	Villa San Carlos	32	9	11	12	34	37	38
16	Argentino Quilmes	32	8	13	11	28	33	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	32	8	11	13	24	32	35
18	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
19	CSD Flandria	32	8	8	16	26	39	32
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32
21	UAI Urquiza	32	3	19	10	15	28	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	32	1	11	20	19	49	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Comunicaciones	Deportivo Merlo
Atletico Camioneros	0-2 L	0-0 D
Sportivo Italiano	1-0 W	0-4 L
San Martin De Burzaco	0-0 D	1-1 D
Villa San Carlos	0-1 L	1-2 L
Deportivo Liniers	0-0 D	1-1 D
Real Pilar	1-2 L	3-2 W
UAI Urquiza	2-0 W	0-0 D
Villa Dalmine	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Comunicaciones (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Comunicaciones

LWDWLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
21/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
18/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
15/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
10/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
04/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	4	3	L

Deportivo Merlo

LDWDLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
09/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-3	0-4	7	1	L
02/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
26/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
18/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	10	D
15/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-2	0	6	W
10/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
04/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Comunicaciones win (46%). Probabilities: Club Comunicaciones 46%, draw 32%, Deportivo Merlo 23%.

How many goals are expected in Club Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Club Comunicaciones 1.18 · Deportivo Merlo 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.