Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 30/08, 17:30

Prediction: Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos

Team pages: Deportivo Armenio · Villa San Carlos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Deportivo Armenio1.32

Villa San Carlos0.96

1X2

44% 31% 26%

Deportivo Armenio Draw Villa San Carlos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Armenio 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDDLWWLL

Villa San Carlos 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Armenio 3–3 Villa San Carlos (6 last)

Villa San Carlos4-1Deportivo Armenio
Villa San Carlos2-1Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Armenio4-0Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Armenio0-1Villa San Carlos
Villa San Carlos0-1Deportivo Armenio
Villa San Carlos1-2Deportivo Armenio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Armenio 1479 · Villa San Carlos 1568

	Deportivo Armenio	Draw	Villa San Carlos
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	44%	31%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa San Carlos (rating 1479 vs 1568).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Armenio	Villa San Carlos
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	3.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.88

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:20 +2’	2.05	2.88	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Armenio 3–0–3 Villa San Carlos

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	4-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Armenio
08/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	2-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Armenio
16/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	4-0 HT 2-0	Villa San Carlos
14/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	0-1 HT 0-0	Villa San Carlos
27/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Armenio
27/08/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	1-2 HT 0-0	Deportivo Armenio

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	32	18	8	6	49	24	62
2	Atletico Camioneros	32	16	11	5	39	20	59
3	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
5	Talleres Remedios	32	16	9	7	34	17	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
8	Deportivo Laferrere	32	12	9	11	38	41	45
9	Deportivo Armenio	32	12	8	12	34	37	44
10	Club Comunicaciones	32	11	10	11	32	31	43
11	CS Dock Sud	32	9	13	10	36	34	40
12	Argentino Merlo	32	10	10	12	30	32	40
13	San Martin De Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
14	Deportivo Merlo	32	9	12	11	34	47	39
15	Villa San Carlos	32	9	11	12	34	37	38
16	Argentino Quilmes	32	8	13	11	28	33	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	32	8	11	13	24	32	35
18	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
19	CSD Flandria	32	8	8	16	26	39	32
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32
21	UAI Urquiza	32	3	19	10	15	28	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	32	1	11	20	19	49	14

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Armenio

DDWDDLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
22/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
08/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
25/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
14/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
10/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	2	D

Villa San Carlos

WDLLWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	12	6	W
23/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
16/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	5	10	W
08/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
26/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
18/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
14/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
10/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
04/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Armenio win (44%). Probabilities: Deportivo Armenio 44%, draw 31%, Villa San Carlos 26%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Deportivo Armenio 1.32 · Villa San Carlos 0.96), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.