Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 30/08, 20:00

Prediction: CSD Flandria vs San Martin De Burzaco

Team pages: CSD Flandria · San Martin De Burzaco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

CSD Flandria1.06

San Martin De Burzaco1.04

1X2

35% 32% 34%

CSD Flandria Draw San Martin De Burzaco

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Flandria 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLDDWL

San Martin De Burzaco 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLDLDLW

Head-to-head

CSD Flandria 3–1–1 San Martin De Burzaco (5 last)

San Martin De Burzaco0-1CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria1-1San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco1-0CSD Flandria
San Martin De Burzaco0-1CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria1-0San Martin De Burzaco

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1492 · San Martin De Burzaco 1461

	CSD Flandria	Draw	San Martin De Burzaco
Our model	34%	33%	33%
Market	35%	31%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CSD Flandria: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Flandria	San Martin De Burzaco
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.4	3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.88

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	2.80 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
2	2.75 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:19 +9’	2.50	2.80	2.75
20:56 +6’	2.70▲	2.80	2.50▼
02:55 +5’	2.55▼	2.88▲	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 3–1–1 San Martin De Burzaco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-1 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
09/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-1 HT 0-0	San Martin De Burzaco
23/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	1-0 HT 1-0	CSD Flandria
11/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-1 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
20/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-0 HT 1-0	San Martin De Burzaco

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	32	18	8	6	49	24	62
2	Atletico Camioneros	32	16	11	5	39	20	59
3	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
5	Talleres Remedios	32	16	9	7	34	17	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
8	Deportivo Laferrere	32	12	9	11	38	41	45
9	Deportivo Armenio	32	12	8	12	34	37	44
10	Club Comunicaciones	32	11	10	11	32	31	43
11	CS Dock Sud	32	9	13	10	36	34	40
12	Argentino Merlo	32	10	10	12	30	32	40
13	San Martin De Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
14	Deportivo Merlo	32	9	12	11	34	47	39
15	Villa San Carlos	32	9	11	12	34	37	38
16	Argentino Quilmes	32	8	13	11	28	33	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	32	8	11	13	24	32	35
18	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
19	CSD Flandria	32	8	8	16	26	39	32
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32
21	UAI Urquiza	32	3	19	10	15	28	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	32	1	11	20	19	49	14

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Flandria	San Martin De Burzaco
Villa San Carlos	2-3 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Liniers	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Flandria

LDWLDLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-3	4	6	L
22/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
15/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
08/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
01/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
18/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
14/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
10/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	12	4	L

San Martin De Burzaco

DDWLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-2	7	7	W
22/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
15/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
09/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
02/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
25/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
15/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
10/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
05/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Flandria vs San Martin De Burzaco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Flandria win (35%). Probabilities: CSD Flandria 35%, draw 32%, San Martin De Burzaco 34%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Flandria vs San Martin De Burzaco?

The model expects 2.1 goals (CSD Flandria 1.06 · San Martin De Burzaco 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Flandria vs San Martin De Burzaco?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.