Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Liniers

Team pages: CA Brown de Adrogue · Deportivo Liniers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.77Total

CA Brown de Adrogue0.98

Deportivo Liniers0.79

1X2

39% 33% 28%

CA Brown de Adrogue Draw Deportivo Liniers

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Brown de Adrogue 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWDWLDL

Deportivo Liniers 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDDWLLW

Head-to-head

CA Brown de Adrogue 0–3 Deportivo Liniers (3 last)

Deportivo Liniers1-0CA Brown de Adrogue
Deportivo Liniers2-1CA Brown de Adrogue
CA Brown de Adrogue0-1Deportivo Liniers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Brown de Adrogue 1460 · Deportivo Liniers 1496

	CA Brown de Adrogue	Draw	Deportivo Liniers
Our model	38%	36%	27%
Market	40%	31%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.77 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Liniers: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Brown de Adrogue	Deportivo Liniers
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	1.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.88

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 1.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:58 +17’	2.25	2.88	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Brown de Adrogue 0–0–3 Deportivo Liniers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 1-0	CA Brown de Adrogue
28/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	2-1 HT 2-1	CA Brown de Adrogue
10/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Brown de Adrogue	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Liniers

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	32	18	8	6	49	24	62
2	Atletico Camioneros	32	16	11	5	39	20	59
3	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
5	Talleres Remedios	32	16	9	7	34	17	57
6	Sportivo Italiano	32	14	10	8	36	25	52
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
8	Deportivo Laferrere	32	12	9	11	38	41	45
9	Deportivo Armenio	31	12	8	11	33	34	44
10	Club Comunicaciones	32	11	10	11	32	31	43
11	Argentino Merlo	32	10	10	12	30	32	40
12	San Martin De Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
13	Deportivo Merlo	31	9	12	10	33	45	39
14	Villa San Carlos	32	9	11	12	34	37	38
15	CS Dock Sud	31	8	13	10	34	33	37
16	Argentino Quilmes	32	8	13	11	28	33	37
17	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
18	Deportivo Liniers	31	7	11	13	21	31	32
19	CSD Flandria	32	8	8	16	26	39	32
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32
21	UAI Urquiza	32	3	19	10	15	28	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	32	1	11	20	19	49	14

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Brown de Adrogue

DDLLWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
22/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
15/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	7	L
08/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
31/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
25/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
15/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
10/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
04/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Deportivo Liniers

DLLDDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
22/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	3-2	1	7	W
01/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
25/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
18/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	10	D
14/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
10/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
05/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Liniers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Brown de Adrogue win (39%). Probabilities: CA Brown de Adrogue 39%, draw 33%, Deportivo Liniers 28%.

How many goals are expected in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model expects 1.77 goals (CA Brown de Adrogue 0.98 · Deportivo Liniers 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.