Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 25/08, 20:00

Prediction: Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo

Team pages: Arsenal de Sarandi · CA Ituzaingo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Arsenal de Sarandi1.84

CA Ituzaingo0.62

1X2

66% 23% 11%

Arsenal de Sarandi Draw CA Ituzaingo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Arsenal de Sarandi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDDLLW

CA Ituzaingo 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLLWL

Head-to-head

Arsenal de Sarandi 0–1–0 CA Ituzaingo (1 last)

CA Ituzaingo0-0Arsenal de Sarandi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arsenal de Sarandi 1522 · CA Ituzaingo 1414

	Arsenal de Sarandi	Draw	CA Ituzaingo
Our model	66%	23%	11%
Market	66%	23%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal de Sarandi (rating 1522 vs 1414).
Cards-heavy: 14.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arsenal de Sarandi	CA Ituzaingo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.5	7.2 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X3.90

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:06 +4’	1.36	3.90	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal de Sarandi 0–1–0 CA Ituzaingo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	0-0 HT 0-0	Arsenal de Sarandi

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	20	12	5	3	27	11	41
2	Talleres Remedios	20	11	5	4	22	10	38
3	Villa Dalmine	20	10	7	3	24	10	37
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	20	10	7	3	27	14	37
5	Atletico Camioneros	20	9	7	4	21	14	34
6	Sportivo Italiano	20	9	6	5	21	17	33
7	Real Pilar	20	9	4	7	23	22	31
8	Deportivo Merlo	20	8	7	5	24	24	31
9	Club Comunicaciones	20	8	6	6	23	20	30
10	San Martin De Burzaco	20	7	7	6	22	19	28
11	Deportivo Armenio	20	7	4	9	21	25	25
12	Argentino Merlo	20	6	6	8	14	17	24
13	Deportivo Laferrere	20	6	6	8	21	27	24
14	CS Dock Sud	20	5	8	7	20	18	23
15	Argentino Quilmes	20	5	8	7	19	19	23
16	Defensores Unidos	20	5	8	7	18	21	23
17	Deportivo Liniers	20	6	5	9	13	20	23
18	CSD Flandria	20	6	4	10	16	24	22
19	UAI Urquiza	20	3	11	6	12	16	20
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	20	4	7	9	12	23	19
21	Villa San Carlos	20	3	7	10	19	27	16
22	CA Ituzaingo	20	1	5	14	14	35	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arsenal de Sarandi	CA Ituzaingo
CSD Flandria	0-0 D	2-3 L
Real Pilar	2-1 W	2-0 W
UAI Urquiza	1-0 W	1-1 D
Villa Dalmine	1-1 D	0-2 L
Excursionistas	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Arsenal de Sarandi (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arsenal de Sarandi

WDWWDDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	4	10	W
06/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
01/06	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
26/05	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
22/05	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
16/05	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
10/05	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
02/05	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	12	W
26/04	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	9	D
18/04	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

CA Ituzaingo

LLLLLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
05/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	4	12	W
01/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	11	L
27/05	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
23/05	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
16/05	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	2	9	L
09/05	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	10	L
05/05	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
25/04	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
19/04	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-3	3	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal de Sarandi win (66%). Probabilities: Arsenal de Sarandi 66%, draw 23%, CA Ituzaingo 11%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.84 · CA Ituzaingo 0.62), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal de Sarandi vs CA Ituzaingo?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.