Football · Bulgaria First League · 29/08, 17:00
Prediction: Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Team pages: Slavia Sofia · Septemvri Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Slavia Sofia1.39
Septemvri Sofia0.95
1X2
Slavia Sofia
Draw
Septemvri Sofia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slavia Sofia
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Septemvri Sofia
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slavia Sofia
2–4
Septemvri Sofia
(6 last)
- Slavia Sofia2-1Septemvri Sofia
- Slavia Sofia1-2Septemvri Sofia
- Septemvri Sofia0-1Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia0-2Septemvri Sofia
- Septemvri Sofia3-1Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia2-3Septemvri Sofia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slavia Sofia 1517 · Septemvri Sofia 1503
| Slavia Sofia | Draw | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Septemvri Sofia: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slavia Sofia | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavia Sofia 2–0–4 Septemvri Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Septemvri Sofia |
| 10/04/26 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Septemvri Sofia |
| 01/11/25 Bulgaria First League | Septemvri Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Slavia Sofia |
| 04/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Slavia Sofia | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Septemvri Sofia |
| 06/05/25 Bulgaria First League | Septemvri Sofia | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Slavia Sofia |
| 01/04/25 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Septemvri Sofia |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slavia Sofia | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Arda Kardzhali | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Sofia | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Spartak Varna | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Septemvri Sofia (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slavia Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 10/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
Septemvri Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 15 | D |
| 18/05 | Beroe Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slavia Sofia win (46%). Probabilities: Slavia Sofia 46%, draw 29%, Septemvri Sofia 25%.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Slavia Sofia 1.39 · Septemvri Sofia 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.