Prediction: Barnet vs Cheltenham
Team pages: Barnet · Cheltenham
- Barnet0-0Cheltenham
- Cheltenham0-1Barnet
- Cheltenham1-1Barnet
- Barnet0-2Cheltenham
- Barnet3-1Cheltenham
- Cheltenham1-2Barnet
| Barnet | Draw | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnet (rating 1588 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Barnet: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnet | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.9 | 2.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnet 3–2–1 Cheltenham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England League 2 | Barnet | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cheltenham |
| 23/08/25 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barnet |
| 27/01/18 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barnet |
| 23/12/17 England League 2 | Barnet | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cheltenham |
| 25/03/17 England League 2 | Barnet | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Cheltenham |
| 26/12/16 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Barnet |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Exeter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnet | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 6-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Cambridge Utd | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnet (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
5-1 | 6-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Notts County England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Bromley England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Cheltenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnet vs Cheltenham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnet win (60%). Probabilities: Barnet 60%, draw 23%, Cheltenham 17%.
How many goals are expected in Barnet vs Cheltenham?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Barnet 2.24 · Cheltenham 1.16), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnet vs Cheltenham?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.