Prediction: Chesterfield vs Barnet
Team pages: Chesterfield · Barnet
- Barnet1-0Chesterfield
- Chesterfield3-1Barnet
- Barnet0-2Chesterfield
- Chesterfield4-2Barnet
- Barnet3-0Chesterfield
- Chesterfield3-1Barnet
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnet (rating 1507 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Chesterfield: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chesterfield | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 2.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 3.7 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesterfield 4–0–2 Barnet
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England League 2 | Barnet | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 13/12/25 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Barnet |
| 27/02/24 England National League | Barnet | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| 11/11/23 England National League | Chesterfield | 4-2 HT 0-0 | Barnet |
| 28/01/23 England National League | Barnet | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chesterfield |
| 26/08/22 England National League | Chesterfield | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Barnet |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | York | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chesterfield | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Fleetwood Town | 0-1 L | 5-2 W |
| Notts County | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnet (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Barnet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
5-1 | 6-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Notts County England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Bromley England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chesterfield vs Barnet?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesterfield win (40%). Probabilities: Chesterfield 40%, draw 28%, Barnet 32%.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Barnet?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Chesterfield 1.38 · Barnet 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Barnet?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.