Football · England League 2 · 05/09, 13:30
Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury
Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Shrewsbury
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Fleetwood Town1.39
Shrewsbury0.91
1X2
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Shrewsbury
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Shrewsbury
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town
3–1–2
Shrewsbury
(6 last)
- Fleetwood Town4-0Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury2-2Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town3-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury3-1Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town0-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury0-3Fleetwood Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1563 · Shrewsbury 1456
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fleetwood Town (rating 1563 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Fleetwood Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 1.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 3–1–2 Shrewsbury
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/26 England EFL Cup | Fleetwood Town | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 25/04/26 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 22/11/25 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 01/01/24 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 26/08/23 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 01/01/23 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Fleetwood Town |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | York | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Barnet | 2-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/03 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
Shrewsbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Bromley England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town win (47%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 47%, draw 29%, Shrewsbury 24%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.39 · Shrewsbury 0.91), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.