Football · England League 2 · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Tranmere vs Oldham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Tranmere1.42
Oldham1.46
1X2
Tranmere
Draw
Oldham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tranmere
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Oldham
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tranmere
3–3
Oldham
(6 last)
- Tranmere1-3Oldham
- Oldham3-1Tranmere
- Tranmere1-2Oldham
- Tranmere2-0Oldham
- Oldham0-1Tranmere
- Tranmere3-2Oldham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tranmere 1486 · Oldham 1483
| Tranmere | Draw | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tranmere | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tranmere 3–0–3 Oldham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England League 2 | Tranmere | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Oldham |
| 20/12/25 England League 2 | Oldham | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Tranmere |
| 02/11/24 England FA Cup | Tranmere | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Oldham |
| 30/04/22 England League 2 | Tranmere | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 07/12/21 England League 2 | Oldham | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tranmere |
| 09/11/21 England EFL Trophy | Tranmere | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Oldham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | York | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tranmere | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Port Vale | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Shrewsbury | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Colchester | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tranmere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tranmere vs Oldham?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Oldham win (37%). Probabilities: Tranmere 35%, draw 28%, Oldham 37%.
How many goals are expected in Tranmere vs Oldham?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Tranmere 1.42 · Oldham 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tranmere vs Oldham?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.