Football · England League 2 · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town
Team pages: Accrington Stanley · Crawley Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Accrington Stanley1.3
Crawley Town0.99
1X2
Accrington Stanley
Draw
Crawley Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Accrington Stanley
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Crawley Town
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Accrington Stanley
1–2–3
Crawley Town
(6 last)
- Accrington Stanley3-3Crawley Town
- Crawley Town1-1Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-1Crawley Town
- Crawley Town3-1Accrington Stanley
- Crawley Town1-4Accrington Stanley
- Crawley Town2-1Accrington Stanley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Accrington Stanley 1454 · Crawley Town 1473
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Crawley Town: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Accrington Stanley | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Accrington Stanley 1–2–3 Crawley Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Crawley Town |
| 22/11/25 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 24/02/24 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Crawley Town |
| 11/11/23 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 05/11/22 England FA Cup | Crawley Town | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Accrington Stanley |
| 27/01/18 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Accrington Stanley |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | York | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Accrington Stanley | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Crewe | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 03/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Crawley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Accrington Stanley win (43%). Probabilities: Accrington Stanley 43%, draw 29%, Crawley Town 28%.
How many goals are expected in Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Accrington Stanley 1.3 · Crawley Town 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.