Football · England Premier League · 29/08, 13:30

Prediction: Liverpool vs Nottm Forest

Team pages: Nottm Forest

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Liverpool2.14
Nottm Forest0.9
1X2
65% 21% 14%
Liverpool Draw Nottm Forest
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWLDLD
Nottm Forest 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWDLDL
Head-to-head
Liverpool 3–1–2 Nottm Forest (6 last)
  • Nottm Forest0-1Liverpool
  • Liverpool0-3Nottm Forest
  • Nottm Forest1-1Liverpool
  • Liverpool0-1Nottm Forest
  • Nottm Forest0-1Liverpool
  • Liverpool3-0Nottm Forest
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liverpool 1516 · Nottm Forest 1555
LiverpoolDrawNottm Forest
Our model65%21%14%
Market65%21%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Liverpool: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LiverpoolNottm Forest
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.62 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.92.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool 312 Nottm Forest

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
England Premier League
Nottm Forest0-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool
22/11/25
England Premier League
Liverpool0-3
HT 0-1
Nottm Forest
14/01/25
England Premier League
Nottm Forest1-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool
14/09/24
England Premier League
Liverpool0-1
HT 0-0
Nottm Forest
02/03/24
England Premier League
Nottm Forest0-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool
29/10/23
England Premier League
Liverpool3-0
HT 2-0
Nottm Forest

Standings · England Premier League

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Arsenal 110 303
1 Brentford 110 303
3 Everton 110 203
3 Hull 110 203
5 Ipswich 110 213
6 Leeds 110 103
7 Bournemouth 000 000
7 Aston Villa 000 000
7 Brighton 000 000
7 Chelsea 000 000
7 Fulham 000 000
7 Liverpool 000 000
7 Man City 000 000
7 Newcastle 000 000
15 Sunderland 101 120
16 Nottm Forest 101 010
17 Crystal Palace 101 020
17 Man Utd 101 020
19 Coventry 101 030
19 Tottenham 101 030

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLiverpoolNottm Forest
Aston Villa 2-4 L 1-1 D
Chelsea 1-1 D 3-1 W
Man Utd 2-3 L 2-3 L
Fulham 2-0 W 0-0 D
Tottenham 1-1 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nottm Forest (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liverpool

LDLWWWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Brentford
England Premier League
0-0 1-1 144 D
15/05 Aston Villa
England Premier League
0-1 2-4 94 L
09/05 Chelsea
England Premier League
1-1 1-1 56 D
03/05 Man Utd
England Premier League
0-2 2-3 24 L
25/04 Crystal Palace
England Premier League
2-0 3-1 54 W
19/04 Everton
England Premier League
1-0 2-1 62 W
11/04 Fulham
England Premier League
2-0 2-0 60 W
21/03 Brighton
England Premier League
1-1 1-2 810 L
15/03 Tottenham
England Premier League
1-0 1-1 30 D
03/03 Wolverhampton
England Premier League
0-0 1-2 113 L

Nottm Forest

DWDWWWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Leeds
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 33 L
24/05 Bournemouth
England Premier League
1-0 1-1 62 D
17/05 Man Utd
England Premier League
0-1 2-3 63 L
10/05 Newcastle
England Premier League
0-0 1-1 22 D
04/05 Chelsea
England Premier League
2-0 3-1 14 W
24/04 Sunderland
England Premier League
4-0 5-0 67 W
19/04 Burnley
England Premier League
0-1 4-1 42 W
12/04 Aston Villa
England Premier League
1-1 1-1 74 D
22/03 Tottenham
England Premier League
1-0 3-0 33 W
15/03 Fulham
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liverpool vs Nottm Forest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Liverpool win (65%). Probabilities: Liverpool 65%, draw 21%, Nottm Forest 14%.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Nottm Forest?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Liverpool 2.14 · Nottm Forest 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Nottm Forest?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.