Football · England Premier League · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Team pages: Fulham · Crystal Palace

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Fulham1.3
Crystal Palace1.07
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Fulham Draw Crystal Palace
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fulham 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDWLLDWL
Crystal Palace 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WDLLDLDLLL
Head-to-head
Fulham 1–1–4 Crystal Palace (6 last)
  • Fulham1-2Crystal Palace
  • Crystal Palace1-1Fulham
  • Fulham1-2Crystal Palace
  • Fulham0-3Crystal Palace
  • Fulham0-2Crystal Palace
  • Crystal Palace0-2Fulham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fulham 1490 · Crystal Palace 1457
FulhamDrawCrystal Palace
Our model41%30%29%
Market42%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Crystal Palace: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FulhamCrystal Palace
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.10.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.71.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.32.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham 114 Crystal Palace

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/26
Elite Club Friendlies
Fulham1-2
HT 1-1
Crystal Palace
01/01/26
England Premier League
Crystal Palace1-1
HT 1-0
Fulham
07/12/25
England Premier League
Fulham1-2
HT 1-1
Crystal Palace
29/03/25
England FA Cup
Fulham0-3
HT 0-2
Crystal Palace
22/02/25
England Premier League
Fulham0-2
HT 0-1
Crystal Palace
09/11/24
England Premier League
Crystal Palace0-2
HT 0-1
Fulham

Standings · England Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Man City 2200 626
2 Hull 2200 306
3 Newcastle 2110 424
4 Everton 2110 314
5 Brighton 1100 403
6 Arsenal 1100 303
6 Brentford 1100 303
8 Chelsea 1100 323
9 Ipswich 1100 213
10 Leeds 1100 103
11 Liverpool 2020 442
12 Bournemouth 2011 231
12 Nottm Forest 2011 231
14 Fulham 1001 230
15 Sunderland 1001 120
16 Man Utd 1001 020
17 Aston Villa 1001 040
17 Coventry 2002 040
19 Crystal Palace 2002 160
20 Tottenham 2002 050

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFulhamCrystal Palace
Newcastle 2-0 W 2-1 W
Bournemouth 0-1 L 0-3 L
Arsenal 0-3 L 1-2 L
Brentford 0-0 D 2-2 D
Liverpool 0-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fulham (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fulham

DWLDWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/08 Chelsea
England Premier League
1-2 2-3 65 L
24/05 Newcastle
England Premier League
1-0 2-0 64 W
17/05 Wolverhampton
England Premier League
1-1 1-1 61 D
09/05 Bournemouth
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 117 L
02/05 Arsenal
England Premier League
0-3 0-3 41 L
25/04 Aston Villa
England Premier League
1-0 1-0 24 W
18/04 Brentford
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 31 D
11/04 Liverpool
England Premier League
0-2 0-2 90 L
21/03 Burnley
England Premier League
0-0 3-1 65 W
15/03 Nottm Forest
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D

Crystal Palace

WDLLDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Man City
England Premier League
0-1 1-4 23 L
22/08 Everton
England Premier League
0-1 0-2 01 L
24/05 Arsenal
England Premier League
0-1 1-2 31 L
17/05 Brentford
England Premier League
1-1 2-2 44 D
13/05 Man City
England Premier League
0-2 0-3 42 L
10/05 Everton
England Premier League
1-1 2-2 52 D
03/05 Bournemouth
England Premier League
0-2 0-3 12 L
25/04 Liverpool
England Premier League
0-2 1-3 84 L
20/04 West Ham
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 43 D
12/04 Newcastle
England Premier League
0-1 2-1 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham win (41%). Probabilities: Fulham 41%, draw 29%, Crystal Palace 30%.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Fulham 1.3 · Crystal Palace 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.