Football · England Premier League · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Nottm Forest vs Tottenham

Team pages: Nottm Forest · Tottenham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Nottm Forest1.28

Tottenham1.21

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Nottm Forest Draw Tottenham

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nottm Forest 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDLDLD

Tottenham 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDLWLL

Head-to-head

Nottm Forest 4–2 Tottenham (6 last)

Tottenham0-3Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest3-0Tottenham
Tottenham1-2Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest1-0Tottenham
Tottenham3-1Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest0-2Tottenham

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nottm Forest 1541 · Tottenham 1523

	Nottm Forest	Draw	Tottenham
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nottm Forest: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nottm Forest	Tottenham
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.3	4 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.05

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.53
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.46 ★
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:14 +1’	2.45	3.30	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:14 +1’	2.58	3.46	2.69
10:57 +5’	2.55▼	3.46	2.72▲
18:19 +3’	2.53▼	3.46	2.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nottm Forest 4–0–2 Tottenham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 England Premier League	Tottenham	0-3 HT 0-1	Nottm Forest
14/12/25 England Premier League	Nottm Forest	3-0 HT 1-0	Tottenham
21/04/25 England Premier League	Tottenham	1-2 HT 0-2	Nottm Forest
26/12/24 England Premier League	Nottm Forest	1-0 HT 1-0	Tottenham
07/04/24 England Premier League	Tottenham	3-1 HT 1-1	Nottm Forest
15/12/23 England Premier League	Nottm Forest	0-2 HT 0-1	Tottenham

Standings · England Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Hull	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Everton	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
5	Brighton	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
9	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
10	Leeds	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
11	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
12	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	Nottm Forest	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Fulham	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
15	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
16	Man Utd	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
17	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
17	Coventry	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
19	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
20	Tottenham	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nottm Forest	Tottenham
Leeds	0-1 L	1-1 D
Newcastle	1-1 D	0-2 L
Chelsea	3-1 W	1-2 L
Sunderland	5-0 W	0-1 L
Aston Villa	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nottm Forest (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nottm Forest

WDWWWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Liverpool England Premier League	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
22/08	Leeds England Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
24/05	Bournemouth England Premier League	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
17/05	Man Utd England Premier League	0-1	2-3	6	3	L
10/05	Newcastle England Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
04/05	Chelsea England Premier League	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
24/04	Sunderland England Premier League	4-0	5-0	6	7	W
19/04	Burnley England Premier League	0-1	4-1	4	2	W
12/04	Aston Villa England Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
22/03	Tottenham England Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	3	W

Tottenham

LLDWWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Newcastle England Premier League	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
22/08	Brentford England Premier League	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
24/05	Everton England Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
19/05	Chelsea England Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
11/05	Leeds England Premier League	0-0	1-1	14	4	D
03/05	Aston Villa England Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	7	W
25/04	Wolverhampton England Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
18/04	Brighton England Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	4	D
12/04	Sunderland England Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
22/03	Nottm Forest England Premier League	0-1	0-3	13	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nottm Forest vs Tottenham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nottm Forest win (37%). Probabilities: Nottm Forest 37%, draw 29%, Tottenham 34%.

How many goals are expected in Nottm Forest vs Tottenham?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Nottm Forest 1.28 · Tottenham 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nottm Forest vs Tottenham?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.