Prediction: Brighton vs Leeds
- Leeds1-0Brighton
- Brighton3-0Leeds
- Leeds2-2Brighton
- Brighton1-0Leeds
- Leeds1-1Brighton
- Brighton0-0Leeds
| Brighton | Draw | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Brighton: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brighton | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brighton 2–3–1 Leeds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 England Premier League | Leeds | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brighton |
| 01/11/25 England Premier League | Brighton | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Leeds |
| 11/03/23 England Premier League | Leeds | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Brighton |
| 27/08/22 England Premier League | Brighton | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Leeds |
| 15/05/22 England Premier League | Leeds | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Brighton |
| 27/11/21 England Premier League | Brighton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leeds |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hull | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Leeds | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Man Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Nottm Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brighton | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Man Utd | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Wolverhampton | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Tottenham | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Burnley | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Leeds (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brighton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Tottenham England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
Leeds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/04 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Man Utd England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brighton vs Leeds?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brighton win (52%). Probabilities: Brighton 52%, draw 27%, Leeds 21%.
How many goals are expected in Brighton vs Leeds?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Brighton 1.63 · Leeds 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Leeds?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.