Prediction: Falkirk vs Hearts
- Hearts3-0Falkirk
- Hearts1-0Falkirk
- Hearts1-1Falkirk
- Falkirk0-2Hearts
- Hearts3-0Falkirk
- Falkirk2-0Hearts
| Falkirk | Draw | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (rating 1436 vs 1585).
- H2H favours Hearts: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkirk | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 3.7 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 1–1–4 Hearts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 21/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 17/01/26 Scotland FA Cup | Hearts | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Falkirk |
| 13/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hearts |
| 27/09/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 17/08/24 Scotland League Cup | Falkirk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hearts |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falkirk | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Rangers | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Celtic | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Motherwell | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Hibernian | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hearts win (46%). Probabilities: Falkirk 28%, draw 26%, Hearts 46%.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Hearts?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Falkirk 1.23 · Hearts 1.64), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Hearts?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.