Prediction: Celtic vs Rangers
- Rangers3-0Celtic
- Celtic3-1Rangers
- Rangers0-0Celtic
- Rangers2-2Celtic
- Celtic1-3Rangers
- Celtic1-1Rangers
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (rating 1609 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Rangers: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 15.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Celtic | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 8.4 | 3.9 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic 1–3–2 Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Scotland League Cup | Rangers | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Celtic |
| 10/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Rangers |
| 08/03/26 Scotland FA Cup | Rangers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Celtic |
| 01/03/26 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Celtic |
| 03/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Rangers |
| 02/11/25 Scotland League Cup | Celtic | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rangers |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Celtic | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| St Mirren | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Aberdeen | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Falkirk | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Hearts | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Motherwell | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Hibernian | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 13/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/09 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic win (50%). Probabilities: Celtic 50%, draw 25%, Rangers 25%.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Rangers?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Celtic 1.87 · Rangers 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Rangers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.