Prediction: Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
Team pages: Hibernian · Kilmarnock
- Hibernian3-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-3Hibernian
- Hibernian2-2Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-1Hibernian
- Hibernian1-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-1Hibernian
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Hibernian: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian 3–3–0 Kilmarnock
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Hibernian | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 03/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Hibernian |
| 10/08/25 Scotland Premiership | Hibernian | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 15/03/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hibernian |
| 29/12/24 Scotland Premiership | Hibernian | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 01/09/24 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hibernian |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hibernian | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Dundee | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Celtic | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 13/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
Kilmarnock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian win (61%). Probabilities: Hibernian 61%, draw 22%, Kilmarnock 17%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Hibernian 2.01 · Kilmarnock 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.