Prediction: Hibernian vs Aberdeen
Team pages: Hibernian · Aberdeen
- Aberdeen2-0Hibernian
- Hibernian2-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen1-2Hibernian
- Aberdeen1-0Hibernian
- Hibernian2-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen1-3Hibernian
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (rating 1554 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Hibernian: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian 4–0–2 Aberdeen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hibernian |
| 30/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Hibernian | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aberdeen |
| 26/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hibernian |
| 26/04/25 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hibernian |
| 01/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Hibernian | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Aberdeen |
| 21/12/24 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Hibernian |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hibernian | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Dundee | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Rangers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Celtic | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hibernian (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 13/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
Aberdeen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian win (53%). Probabilities: Hibernian 53%, draw 26%, Aberdeen 22%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Hibernian 1.66 · Aberdeen 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.