Football · China Division 2 · 23/08, 10:00

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Wenzhou FC

Team pages: Xiamen Feilu · Wenzhou FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Xiamen Feilu1.3
Wenzhou FC0.53
1X2
56% 29% 15%
Xiamen Feilu Draw Wenzhou FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Xiamen Feilu 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDDLLLDW
Wenzhou FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDDLDD
Head-to-head
Xiamen Feilu 0–1 Wenzhou FC (1 last)
  • Wenzhou FC1-0Xiamen Feilu
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1471 · Wenzhou FC 1488
Xiamen FeiluDrawWenzhou FC
Our model55%31%14%
Market57%26%16%
Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Xiamen FeiluWenzhou FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.10.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.42.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 001 Wenzhou FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
China Division 2
Wenzhou FC1-0
HT 1-0
Xiamen Feilu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 211326 321741
2 Shenzhen 2028 211074 372437
3 Jiangxi Lushan 21957 241932
4 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 217104 242831
5 Hubei Istar 21876 282331
6 Xiamen Feilu 21786 292629
7 Guangdong Mingtu 215115 221926
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 21687 192826
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 21669 222824
10 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 21579 182322
11 Wenzhou FC 213108 132319
12 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 213711 162616

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentXiamen FeiluWenzhou FC
Jiangxi Lushan 2-0 W 1-1 D
Guangzhou Dandelion 0-0 D 0-0 D
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1-5 L 2-1 W
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1-2 L 2-1 W
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1-2 L 0-0 D
Ganzhou Ruishi 0-0 D 0-1 L
Shenzhen 2028 0-0 D 1-1 D
Guangdong Mingtu 2-1 W 0-0 D
Hubei Istar 0-0 D 1-2 L
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 4 L 2 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiamen Feilu

LDWDDLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 04 W
08/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/08 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-2 1-5 70 L
29/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 93 L
26/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 74 L
18/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 95 D
05/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 34 W
23/06 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 31 D
19/06 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 23 L

Wenzhou FC

WWLDLDDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 44 D
09/08 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
05/08 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 07 L
01/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 12 D
25/07 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 92 D
18/07 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-2 1-2 162 L
05/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 65 D
28/06 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 104 L
24/06 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 13 W
20/06 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Wenzhou FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (56%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 56%, draw 29%, Wenzhou FC 15%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Wenzhou FC?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.3 · Wenzhou FC 0.53), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Wenzhou FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.