Football · China Division 2 · 23/08, 13:30

Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves · Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1.51

Ganzhou Ruishi0.91

1X2

50% 29% 21%

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves Draw Ganzhou Ruishi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDWWLL

Ganzhou Ruishi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDDLDLL

Head-to-head

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1–2 Ganzhou Ruishi (3 last)

Ganzhou Ruishi1-0Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Ganzhou Ruishi1-0Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves2-0Ganzhou Ruishi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1467 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1469

	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Draw	Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model	50%	28%	22%
Market	50%	29%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ganzhou Ruishi: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Ganzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	0.7 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.10

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +2’	1.80	3.10	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1–0–2 Ganzhou Ruishi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-0 HT 1-0	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
27/07/25 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-0 HT 0-0	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
17/05/25 China Division 2	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Ganzhou Ruishi

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	21	13	2	6	32	17	41
2	Shenzhen 2028	21	10	7	4	37	24	37
3	Jiangxi Lushan	21	9	5	7	24	19	32
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	21	7	10	4	24	28	31
5	Hubei Istar	21	8	7	6	28	23	31
6	Xiamen Feilu	21	7	8	6	29	26	29
7	Guangdong Mingtu	21	5	11	5	22	19	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	21	6	8	7	19	28	26
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	21	6	6	9	22	28	24
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	21	5	7	9	18	23	22
11	Wenzhou FC	21	3	10	8	13	23	19
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	21	3	7	11	16	26	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	Ganzhou Ruishi
Guangdong Mingtu	0-3 L	0-2 L
Jiangxi Lushan	0-2 L	1-0 W
Guangzhou Dandelion	4-1 W	1-3 L
Xiamen Feilu	2-1 W	0-0 D
Hubei Istar	1-1 D	4-4 D
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-1 L	0-3 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wenzhou FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	1-1 D	0-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

DLLWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
08/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	4-1	8	3	W
29/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-1	1-1	9	1	D
19/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
04/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
28/06	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
24/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
20/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	3	D

Ganzhou Ruishi

LWWDDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-2	0-6	4	2	L
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
11/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	4-4	2	0	D
28/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
19/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win (50%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 50%, draw 29%, Ganzhou Ruishi 21%.

How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1.51 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.91), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.