Football · China Division 2 · 23/08, 10:00

Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan

Team pages: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves · Jiangxi Lushan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves1.07

Jiangxi Lushan0.88

1X2

39% 32% 29%

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves Draw Jiangxi Lushan

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDLWWD

Jiangxi Lushan 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLDWWL

Head-to-head

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0–1 Jiangxi Lushan (1 last)

Jiangxi Lushan1-0Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1477 · Jiangxi Lushan 1497

	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	Draw	Jiangxi Lushan
Our model	38%	34%	28%
Market	40%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	Jiangxi Lushan
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:48 +23’	2.25	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0–0–1 Jiangxi Lushan

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 China Division 2	Jiangxi Lushan	1-0 HT 1-0	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	21	13	2	6	32	17	41
2	Shenzhen 2028	21	10	7	4	37	24	37
3	Jiangxi Lushan	21	9	5	7	24	19	32
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	21	7	10	4	24	28	31
5	Hubei Istar	21	8	7	6	28	23	31
6	Xiamen Feilu	21	7	8	6	29	26	29
7	Guangdong Mingtu	21	5	11	5	22	19	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	21	6	8	7	19	28	26
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	21	6	6	9	22	28	24
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	21	5	7	9	18	23	22
11	Wenzhou FC	21	3	10	8	13	23	19
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	21	3	7	11	16	26	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	Jiangxi Lushan
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-0 D	2-1 W
Hubei Istar	3-2 W	1-0 W
Xiamen Feilu	5-1 W	0-2 L
Guangdong Mingtu	0-2 L	0-0 D
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0-0 D	1-2 L
Ganzhou Ruishi	1-1 D	0-1 L
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	0-1 L	2-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	0-1 L	1-2 L
Guangzhou Dandelion	0-0 D	2-0 W
Wenzhou FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Jiangxi Lushan (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

LDLLDDLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
02/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	2-1	5-1	5	0	W
27/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
19/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
11/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
04/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
28/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
24/06	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
20/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-2	7	4	L

Jiangxi Lushan

LWWLDLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
08/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
05/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
01/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
19/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
08/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
05/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
28/06	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
24/06	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win (39%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 39%, draw 32%, Jiangxi Lushan 29%.

How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.07 · Jiangxi Lushan 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.