Football · China Division 2 · 23/08, 10:00

Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Team pages: Guangzhou Dandelion · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Guangzhou Dandelion0.91

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.34

1X2

25% 30% 46%

Guangzhou Dandelion Draw Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Guangzhou Dandelion 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLDLDW

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Guangzhou Dandelion 1–2 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (3 last)

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic2-0Guangzhou Dandelion
Guangzhou Dandelion4-2Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic2-1Guangzhou Dandelion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangzhou Dandelion 1445 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1537

	Guangzhou Dandelion	Draw	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Our model	24%	30%	45%
Market	25%	29%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (rating 1445 vs 1537).
H2H favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangzhou Dandelion	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.10

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:52 +19’	3.60	3.10	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 1–0–2 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	2-0 HT 1-0	Guangzhou Dandelion
06/07/25 China Division 2	Guangzhou Dandelion	4-2 HT 3-1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
02/05/25 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	2-1 HT 0-1	Guangzhou Dandelion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	21	13	2	6	32	17	41
2	Shenzhen 2028	21	10	7	4	37	24	37
3	Jiangxi Lushan	21	9	5	7	24	19	32
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	21	7	10	4	24	28	31
5	Hubei Istar	21	8	7	6	28	23	31
6	Xiamen Feilu	21	7	8	6	29	26	29
7	Guangdong Mingtu	21	5	11	5	22	19	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	21	6	8	7	19	28	26
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	21	6	6	9	22	28	24
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	21	5	7	9	18	23	22
11	Wenzhou FC	21	3	10	8	13	23	19
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	21	3	7	11	16	26	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangzhou Dandelion	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Ganzhou Ruishi	3-1 W	3-0 W
Xiamen Feilu	0-0 D	1-0 W
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-4 L	1-0 W
Wenzhou FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	1-3 L	1-0 W
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1-1 D	3-4 L
Guangdong Mingtu	1-2 L	0-0 D
Jiangxi Lushan	0-2 L	1-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	0-0 D	0-0 D
Hubei Istar	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangzhou Dandelion

LDLLDLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
08/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
02/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
18/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
12/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
04/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
28/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
24/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	2-3	5	2	L

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

WDLLWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
11/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-2	3-4	4	7	L
05/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	2-0	10	7	W
01/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
19/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
27/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
23/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (46%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 25%, draw 30%, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 46%.

How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 0.91 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.