Football · China Division 2 · 22/08, 10:00

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Shandong Taishan Reserves

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Shandong Taishan Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Nantong Haimen Codion1.1

Shandong Taishan Reserves1.03

1X2

36% 31% 33%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Shandong Taishan Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLWWWD

Shandong Taishan Reserves 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDWL

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 1–3–1 Shandong Taishan Reserves (5 last)

Shandong Taishan Reserves0-0Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion4-4Shandong Taishan Reserves
Shandong Taishan Reserves2-2Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion1-2Shandong Taishan Reserves
Shandong Taishan Reserves0-1Nantong Haimen Codion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1504 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1567

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Shandong Taishan Reserves
Our model	35%	32%	32%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan Reserves (rating 1504 vs 1567).
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Shandong Taishan Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.1	3.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +56’	2.45	3.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 1–3–1 Shandong Taishan Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 China Division 2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
31/05/25 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	4-4 HT 1-2	Shandong Taishan Reserves
22/03/25 China Division 2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	2-2 HT 1-1	Nantong Haimen Codion
21/07/24 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	1-2 HT 1-1	Shandong Taishan Reserves
12/05/24 China Division 2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	21	12	4	5	31	19	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	21	12	3	6	29	17	39
3	Dalian Kewei	21	9	10	2	21	12	37
4	Shanghai Port Reserves	21	11	4	6	34	19	37
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	21	8	6	7	23	21	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	21	6	10	5	18	18	28
7	Nantong Haimen Codion	21	5	10	6	23	21	25
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	21	4	13	4	13	16	25
9	Qingdao Red Lions	21	5	10	6	22	18	25
10	Changchun Xidu	21	2	11	8	13	27	17
11	Shanghai Segenda	21	2	8	11	20	37	14
12	Beijing Institute	21	2	7	12	17	39	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Shandong Taishan Reserves
Qingdao Red Lions	1-1 D	1-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	2-0 W	2-1 W
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 W	1-0 W
Beijing Institute	2-1 W	3-1 W
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-2 L	1-0 W
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 D	3-1 W
Dalian Kewei	1-2 L	2-2 D
Changchun Xidu	0-0 D	1-1 D
Shanghai Port Reserves	2-2 D	3-1 W
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 3 L	7 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantong Haimen Codion

LDDLDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
29/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
26/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
19/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
04/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
27/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
23/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
19/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	3	L

Shandong Taishan Reserves

WWWWWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
02/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	2-2	9	1	D
25/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
18/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
12/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
28/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	14	2	W
24/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/06	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (36%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 36%, draw 31%, Shandong Taishan Reserves 33%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.1 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.