Football · China Division 2 · 23/08, 10:00

Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guangdong Mingtu

Team pages: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue · Guangdong Mingtu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue1.04

Guangdong Mingtu0.94

1X2

37% 32% 32%

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Draw Guangdong Mingtu

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWDDWDWW

Guangdong Mingtu 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWDDWDDW

Head-to-head

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1–1–1 Guangdong Mingtu (3 last)

Guangdong Mingtu1-1Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2-0Guangdong Mingtu
Guangdong Mingtu1-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1555 · Guangdong Mingtu 1532

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Draw	Guangdong Mingtu
Our model	36%	34%	31%
Market	38%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Guangdong Mingtu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	2.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +7’	2.38	3.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1–1–1 Guangdong Mingtu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 China Division 2	Guangdong Mingtu	1-1 HT 0-0	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
04/10/25 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2-0 HT 0-0	Guangdong Mingtu
31/08/25 China Division 2	Guangdong Mingtu	1-0 HT 0-0	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	21	13	2	6	32	17	41
2	Shenzhen 2028	21	10	7	4	37	24	37
3	Jiangxi Lushan	21	9	5	7	24	19	32
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	21	7	10	4	24	28	31
5	Hubei Istar	21	8	7	6	28	23	31
6	Xiamen Feilu	21	7	8	6	29	26	29
7	Guangdong Mingtu	21	5	11	5	22	19	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	21	6	8	7	19	28	26
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	21	6	6	9	22	28	24
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	21	5	7	9	18	23	22
11	Wenzhou FC	21	3	10	8	13	23	19
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	21	3	7	11	16	26	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Guangdong Mingtu
Hubei Istar	1-0 W	0-0 D
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	4-3 W	0-0 D
Ganzhou Ruishi	1-1 D	2-0 W
Xiamen Feilu	2-1 W	1-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	0-0 D	2-0 W
Guangzhou Dandelion	1-1 D	2-1 W
Jiangxi Lushan	2-1 W	0-0 D
Wenzhou FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 W	3-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong Mingtu (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

LWDWDDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
11/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	2-0	4-3	2	7	W
01/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
24/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	2	2	L

Guangdong Mingtu

WDLWDDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
09/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
01/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
27/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
19/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
11/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
04/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
27/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/06	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/06	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guangdong Mingtu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hangzhou Linping Wuyue win (37%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 37%, draw 32%, Guangdong Mingtu 32%.

How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guangdong Mingtu?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1.04 · Guangdong Mingtu 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guangdong Mingtu?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.