Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 23/08, 21:30
Prediction: Mineros vs Aragua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Mineros0.98
Aragua0.95
1X2
Mineros
Draw
Aragua
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Mineros
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Aragua
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mineros
2–1–3
Aragua
(6 last)
- Aragua2-0Mineros
- Mineros1-2Aragua
- Mineros3-0Aragua
- Aragua0-0Mineros
- Mineros1-0Aragua
- Aragua2-0Mineros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mineros 1445 · Aragua 1505
| Mineros | Draw | Aragua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aragua (rating 1445 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Aragua: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mineros | Aragua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 6.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros 2–1–3 Aragua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Mineros |
| 28/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Mineros | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aragua |
| 04/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Mineros | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aragua |
| 24/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mineros |
| 29/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Mineros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aragua |
| 10/05/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mineros |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Bolivar SC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 27 |
| 4 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 25 |
| 5 | Aragua | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico Avila | 17 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Mineros | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mineros | Aragua |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Miranda FC | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Monagas II | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Dynamo Puerto FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Bolivar SC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Avila | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aragua (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mineros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
Aragua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mineros vs Aragua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mineros win (35%). Probabilities: Mineros 35%, draw 32%, Aragua 33%.
How many goals are expected in Mineros vs Aragua?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Mineros 0.98 · Aragua 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mineros vs Aragua?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.