Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 02/09, 21:30

Prediction: Real Frontera vs Zamora II

Team pages: Real Frontera · Zamora II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Real Frontera1.28

Zamora II1.75

1X2

27% 26% 47%

Real Frontera Draw Zamora II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Frontera 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Zamora II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Real Frontera 4–2 Zamora II (6 last)

Zamora II2-0Real Frontera
Real Frontera1-3Zamora II
Zamora II0-1Real Frontera
Real Frontera3-2Zamora II
Real Frontera2-0Zamora II
Real Frontera2-0Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Frontera 1339 · Zamora II 1489

	Real Frontera	Draw	Zamora II
Our model	27%	26%	48%
Market	26%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zamora II (rating 1339 vs 1489).
H2H favours Real Frontera: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Frontera	Zamora II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +30’	3.40	3.40	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Frontera 4–0–2 Zamora II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	2-0 HT 0-0	Real Frontera
04/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	1-3 HT 0-3	Zamora II
02/12/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	0-1 HT 0-0	Real Frontera
18/11/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	3-2 HT 2-0	Zamora II
04/03/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	2-0 HT 0-0	Zamora II
31/08/16 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	2-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	22	13	6	3	38	19	45
2	Barquisimeto	22	11	7	4	36	23	40
3	Urena SC	22	10	9	3	34	21	39
4	Yaracuyanos	22	9	7	6	27	21	34
5	Academia Puerto Cabello II	23	8	5	10	30	29	29
6	Zamora II	22	7	7	8	32	33	28
7	Atletico Barinas	22	7	3	12	42	51	24
8	Atletico El Vigia	23	6	6	11	25	39	24
9	Real Frontera	22	3	2	17	19	47	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Frontera	Zamora II
Academia Puerto Cabello II	0-3 L	2-1 W
CD Lara	0-2 L	0-2 L
Yaracuyanos	0-2 L	1-2 L
Atletico El Vigia	1-3 L	0-2 L
Atletico Barinas	1-3 L	3-2 W
Urena SC	1-5 L	2-2 D
Barquisimeto	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Zamora II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Frontera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
15/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
08/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
02/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
29/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
25/07	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	1-5	7	6	L
06/06	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
30/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
24/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	6	5	L

Zamora II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	9	9	D
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
30/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
24/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-4	5	4	L
20/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	3-2	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Frontera vs Zamora II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zamora II win (47%). Probabilities: Real Frontera 27%, draw 26%, Zamora II 47%.

How many goals are expected in Real Frontera vs Zamora II?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Real Frontera 1.28 · Zamora II 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Frontera vs Zamora II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.