Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 30/08, 21:30

Prediction: Academia Puerto Cabello II vs Real Frontera

Team pages: Academia Puerto Cabello II · Real Frontera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Academia Puerto Cabello II1.91

Real Frontera0.79

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Academia Puerto Cabello II Draw Real Frontera

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Puerto Cabello II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLWDDL

Real Frontera 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Academia Puerto Cabello II 2–1–3 Real Frontera (6 last)

Real Frontera1-2Academia Puerto Cabello II
Academia Puerto Cabello II3-0Real Frontera
Academia Puerto Cabello II0-1Real Frontera
Real Frontera2-1Academia Puerto Cabello II
Academia Puerto Cabello II0-1Real Frontera
Real Frontera0-0Academia Puerto Cabello II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Puerto Cabello II 1480 · Real Frontera 1356

	Academia Puerto Cabello II	Draw	Real Frontera
Our model	63%	23%	14%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Puerto Cabello II (rating 1480 vs 1356).
H2H favours Real Frontera: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Puerto Cabello II	Real Frontera
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	0.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:27 +13’	1.42	4.10	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Puerto Cabello II 2–1–3 Real Frontera

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	1-2 HT 0-0	Academia Puerto Cabello II
29/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Academia Puerto Cabello II	3-0 HT 2-0	Real Frontera
14/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Academia Puerto Cabello II	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Frontera
02/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	2-1 HT 2-0	Academia Puerto Cabello II
08/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Academia Puerto Cabello II	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Frontera
19/04/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	0-0 HT 0-0	Academia Puerto Cabello II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	22	13	6	3	38	19	45
2	Urena SC	21	10	9	2	34	20	39
3	Barquisimeto	21	11	6	4	36	23	39
4	Yaracuyanos	21	9	6	6	27	21	33
5	Zamora II	22	7	7	8	32	33	28
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	22	7	5	10	27	29	26
7	Atletico Barinas	22	7	3	12	42	51	24
8	Atletico El Vigia	22	5	6	11	24	39	21
9	Real Frontera	21	3	2	16	19	44	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Puerto Cabello II	Real Frontera
CD Lara	0-3 L	0-2 L
Yaracuyanos	0-0 D	0-2 L
Atletico El Vigia	0-0 D	1-3 L
Atletico Barinas	5-3 W	1-3 L
Urena SC	0-1 L	1-5 L
Barquisimeto	2-2 D	1-2 L
Zamora II	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello II (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Puerto Cabello II

LDWLDLWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-3	2	7	L
14/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
09/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
02/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-2	5-3	3	6	W
29/07	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
25/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	5	9	D
05/06	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
24/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
20/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
16/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	4	9	L

Real Frontera

DLLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
08/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
02/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
29/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
25/07	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	1-5	7	6	L
06/06	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
30/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
24/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
09/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	1	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Puerto Cabello II vs Real Frontera?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Puerto Cabello II win (63%). Probabilities: Academia Puerto Cabello II 63%, draw 23%, Real Frontera 14%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Puerto Cabello II vs Real Frontera?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello II 1.91 · Real Frontera 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Puerto Cabello II vs Real Frontera?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.