Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 30/08, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Miranda FC vs Monagas II

Team pages: Deportivo Miranda FC · Monagas II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Deportivo Miranda FC1.56

Monagas II1.18

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Deportivo Miranda FC Draw Monagas II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Miranda FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWWWW

Monagas II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Miranda FC 4–1–1 Monagas II (6 last)

Monagas II2-0Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC0-0Monagas II
Monagas II2-3Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC2-1Monagas II
Monagas II1-2Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC4-1Monagas II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Miranda FC 1547 · Monagas II 1535

	Deportivo Miranda FC	Draw	Monagas II
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Miranda FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 13.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Miranda FC	Monagas II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.4	6.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:38 +2’	2.00	3.20	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Miranda FC 4–1–1 Monagas II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
05/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Monagas II
21/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	2-3 HT 1-1	Deportivo Miranda FC
10/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Monagas II
15/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	1-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Miranda FC
27/04/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	4-1 HT 1-0	Monagas II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	18	10	4	4	29	19	34
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	18	10	4	4	20	13	34
3	Aragua	19	7	7	5	17	13	28
4	Bolivar SC	18	8	3	7	19	19	27
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	20	6	7	7	22	22	25
6	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
7	Atletico Avila	18	1	10	7	8	20	13
8	Mineros	19	1	8	10	16	28	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Miranda FC	Monagas II
Dynamo Puerto FC	3-1 W	2-2 D
Mineros	4-3 W	2-1 W
Atletico Avila	1-0 W	3-0 W
Aragua	2-1 W	2-1 W
Bolivar SC	0-2 L	2-3 L
CS Maritimo de La Guaira	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Miranda FC

WWWDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	0	7	W
16/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	4-3	4	9	W
02/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/07	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
06/06	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
31/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
24/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	4	11	D
16/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
10/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Monagas II

DDLWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
16/08	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-3	8	6	L
09/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
26/07	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
06/06	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
31/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
22/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
17/05	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
09/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
02/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	0	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Miranda FC vs Monagas II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Miranda FC win (45%). Probabilities: Deportivo Miranda FC 45%, draw 28%, Monagas II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Miranda FC vs Monagas II?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Deportivo Miranda FC 1.56 · Monagas II 1.18), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Miranda FC vs Monagas II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.