Football · Iraq Stars League · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: Al Minaa vs Al Naft SC

Team pages: Al Minaa · Al Naft SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.7Total
Al Minaa0.96
Al Naft SC0.74
1X2
40% 33% 27%
Al Minaa Draw Al Naft SC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Minaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDWDDDDWWL
Al Naft SC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
LDLDDWWDDD
Head-to-head
Al Minaa 1–3–2 Al Naft SC (6 last)
  • Al Naft SC1-1Al Minaa
  • Al Minaa0-0Al Naft SC
  • Al Minaa2-0Al Naft SC
  • Al Naft SC1-0Al Minaa
  • Al Naft SC1-1Al Minaa
  • Al Naft SC4-1Al Minaa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Minaa 1496 · Al Naft SC 1505
Al MinaaDrawAl Naft SC
Our model38%36%25%
Market41%31%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.7 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Al Naft SC: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al MinaaAl Naft SC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.90.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.32.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.34.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Minaa 132 Al Naft SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/05/26
Iraq Stars League
Al Naft SC1-1
HT 0-0
Al Minaa
28/01/26
Iraq Stars League
Al Minaa0-0
HT 0-0
Al Naft SC
29/03/25
Iraq Stars League
Al Minaa2-0
HT 1-0
Al Naft SC
07/01/25
Iraq League
Al Naft SC1-0
HT 0-0
Al Minaa
24/02/24
Iraq League
Al Naft SC1-1
HT 1-1
Al Minaa
24/02/22
Iraq League
Al Naft SC4-1
HT 1-0
Al Minaa

Standings · Iraq Stars League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Erbil SC 4310 6110
2 Al Zawra'a 4220 918
3 Al Karma 4220 638
4 Mosul FC 4211 647
5 Al Minaa 4211 537
5 Al Shorta SC 4211 537
7 Al Naft SC 4130 316
8 Diyala FC 4121 885
9 Al Talaba 4121 555
10 Al Jolan SC 4121 445
11 Ghaz Al Shamal 4121 335
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4040 664
13 Duhok 4040 554
14 Al Gharraf 4112 254
15 Zakho 4112 484
16 Al Kahrabaa 4031 463
17 Naft Maysan 4031 153
18 Newroz SC 4022 352
19 Karbalaa FC 4022 272
20 Al Karkh 4013 261

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl MinaaAl Naft SC
Al Zawra'a 0-0 D 1-0 W
Al Shorta SC 0-0 D 0-1 L
Al Talaba 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Minaa

LDWDDDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Erbil SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 114 L
26/08 Al Gharraf
Iraq Stars League
2-0 3-0 53 W
20/08 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
1-1 2-1 53 W
15/08 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 24 D
02/06 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 54 D
28/05 Al Talaba
Iraq Stars League
0-1 1-1 56 D
24/05 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
0-0 2-2 D
20/05 Mosul FC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-0 08 W
14/05 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 15 D
10/05 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-2 L

Al Naft SC

LDLDDWWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Al Talaba
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 38 D
26/08 Duhok
Iraq Stars League
0-1 1-1 23 D
20/08 Naft Maysan
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 46 D
01/06 Newroz SC
Iraq Stars League
1-0 2-1 95 W
27/05 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-0 15 W
19/05 Duhok
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 62 D
14/05 Al Minaa
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 85 D
10/05 Naft Maysan
Iraq Stars League
0-2 0-3 84 L
05/05 Al Karma
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 13 D
01/05 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 09 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Minaa vs Al Naft SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Minaa win (40%). Probabilities: Al Minaa 40%, draw 33%, Al Naft SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Al Minaa vs Al Naft SC?

The model expects 1.7 goals (Al Minaa 0.96 · Al Naft SC 0.74), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Minaa vs Al Naft SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.