Football · China Division 2 · 19/08, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Qingdao Red Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.79Total

Nantong Haimen Codion1.08

Qingdao Red Lions0.71

1X2

44% 31% 24%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Qingdao Red Lions

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDLDLWWW

Qingdao Red Lions 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDLLWDW

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 1–2 Qingdao Red Lions (3 last)

Qingdao Red Lions0-1Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion0-1Qingdao Red Lions
Qingdao Red Lions1-0Nantong Haimen Codion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1520 · Qingdao Red Lions 1511

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Qingdao Red Lions
Our model	43%	35%	23%
Market	46%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 1.79 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Qingdao Red Lions: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Qingdao Red Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.2	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.10

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.96
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 4.08 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +4’	1.95	3.10	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:26 +3’	1.97	2.87	4.01
12:07 +3’	1.96▼	2.98▲	4.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 1–0–2 Qingdao Red Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 China Division 2	Qingdao Red Lions	0-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
28/06/23 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	0-1 HT 0-1	Qingdao Red Lions
29/04/23 China Division 2	Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	21	12	4	5	31	19	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	21	12	3	6	29	17	39
3	Dalian Kewei	21	9	10	2	21	12	37
4	Shanghai Port Reserves	21	11	4	6	34	19	37
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	21	8	6	7	23	21	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	21	6	10	5	18	18	28
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	21	4	13	4	13	16	25
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	20	5	9	6	22	20	24
9	Qingdao Red Lions	20	5	9	6	21	17	24
10	Changchun Xidu	21	2	11	8	13	27	17
11	Shanghai Segenda	21	2	8	11	20	37	14
12	Beijing Institute	21	2	7	12	17	39	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Qingdao Red Lions
Shanghai Segenda	2-0 W	2-0 W
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 W	0-1 L
Beijing Institute	2-1 W	6-1 W
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-2 L	1-0 W
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 D	0-0 D
Dalian Kewei	1-2 L	0-0 D
Shanghai Port Reserves	2-2 D	2-1 W
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-2 L	0-0 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nantong Haimen Codion

DLDDLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
29/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
26/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
19/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
04/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
27/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
23/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
19/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
13/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Qingdao Red Lions

WDDWDLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
01/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	3-0	6-1	2	1	W
19/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
05/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
27/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
20/06	Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
14/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (44%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 44%, draw 31%, Qingdao Red Lions 24%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model expects 1.79 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.08 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.71), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.