Prediction: Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira
Team pages: Alianza · Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-3Alianza
- Alianza1-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira0-0Alianza
- Deportivo Pereira1-0Alianza
- Alianza1-2Deportivo Pereira
| Alianza | Draw | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 29% | 14% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza 2–1–2 Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Alianza |
| 19/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 04/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza |
| 13/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza |
| 12/02/24 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Pereira |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Llaneros | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Real San Andres Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 27/04 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/05 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 04/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza win (58%). Probabilities: Alianza 58%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pereira 15%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Alianza 1.46 · Deportivo Pereira 0.58), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

