Football · Colombia Primera A · 22/08, 02:30

Prediction: Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira

Team pages: Alianza · Deportivo Pereira

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Alianza1.46
Deportivo Pereira0.58
1X2
58% 27% 15%
Alianza Draw Deportivo Pereira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDDDWLWDLL
Deportivo Pereira 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLDWDWLD
Head-to-head
Alianza 2–1–2 Deportivo Pereira (5 last)
  • Deportivo Pereira2-3Alianza
  • Alianza1-0Deportivo Pereira
  • Deportivo Pereira0-0Alianza
  • Deportivo Pereira1-0Alianza
  • Alianza1-2Deportivo Pereira
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza 1476 · Deportivo Pereira 1493
AlianzaDrawDeportivo Pereira
Our model58%29%14%
Market59%25%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlianzaDeportivo Pereira
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.20.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.21.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.14.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza 212 Deportivo Pereira

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira2-3
HT 0-2
Alianza
19/07/25
Colombia Primera A
Alianza1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pereira
04/02/25
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza
13/09/24
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza
12/02/24
Colombia Primera A
Alianza1-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo Pereira

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 America de Cali 4400 11012
2 Independiente Medellin 3300 749
3 Deportes Tolima 4301 869
4 Atletico Bucaramanga 4220 648
5 Llaneros 3210 527
6 Deportivo Cali 3201 416
7 Aguilas Doradas 2200 426
8 Millonarios 3201 316
9 Once Caldas 4121 855
10 Fortaleza CEIF 4121 445
11 Independiente Santa Fe 3111 544
12 Atletico Nacional Medellin 2101 313
13 Internacional de Bogota 3102 243
14 Deportivo Pereira 2011 011
15 Alianza 3012 461
16 Cucuta Deportivo 3012 281
17 Jaguares de Cordoba 4013 171
18 Junior 2002 130
19 Deportivo Pasto 4004 390
20 Boyaca Chico 2002 090

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlianzaDeportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima 1-2 L 0-2 L
Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 D 0-0 D
Llaneros 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Alianza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza

LDDDWLWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Atletico Bucaramanga
Colombia Primera A
1-2 2-3 36 L
01/08 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
1-1 1-2 25 L
27/07 Fortaleza CEIF
Colombia Primera A
0-1 1-1 54 D
24/05 Atletico Bucaramanga
Colombia Cup
0-0 2-1 85 W
21/05 Deportivo Cali
Colombia Cup
0-1 0-1 45 L
16/05 Real San Andres
Colombia Cup
2-0 3-0 64 W
08/05 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Cup
0-0 1-1 38 D
03/05 Millonarios
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-2 38 D
27/04 Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 25 D
19/04 Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-1 0-1 68 L

Deportivo Pereira

DLWLDWDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Fortaleza CEIF
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 04 D
25/07 Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-1 37 L
26/05 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Cup
0-0 1-0 44 W
21/05 Aguilas Doradas
Colombia Cup
0-1 1-1 15 D
17/05 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Colombia Cup
0-0 1-0 42 W
08/05 Independiente Yumbo
Colombia Cup
0-1 1-1 66 D
04/05 America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
0-1 0-1 13 L
25/04 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
1-0 1-0 57 W
19/04 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
0-1 0-2 30 L
10/04 Once Caldas
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 56 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza win (58%). Probabilities: Alianza 58%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pereira 15%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Alianza 1.46 · Deportivo Pereira 0.58), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza vs Deportivo Pereira?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.