Football · Colombia Primera A · 31/08, 01:15

Prediction: Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota

Team pages: Millonarios · Internacional de Bogota

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Millonarios2.28
Internacional de Bogota0.92
1X2
66% 21% 12%
Millonarios Draw Internacional de Bogota
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Millonarios 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWDLWWDW
Internacional de Bogota 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLWLDD
Head-to-head
Millonarios 0–1 Internacional de Bogota (1 last)
  • Internacional de Bogota3-2Millonarios
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Millonarios 1523 · Internacional de Bogota 1497
MillonariosDrawInternacional de Bogota
Our model67%20%13%
Market66%22%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MillonariosInternacional de Bogota
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.23.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.2 / 0.24.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Millonarios 001 Internacional de Bogota

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Colombia Primera A
Internacional de Bogota3-2
HT 0-0
Millonarios

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 America de Cali 6510 15216
2 Llaneros 6321 7511
3 Millonarios 5311 6210
4 Deportes Tolima 5311 8610
5 Atletico Nacional Medellin 4301 739
6 Independiente Medellin 4301 759
7 Atletico Bucaramanga 5230 649
8 Aguilas Doradas 4220 648
9 Cucuta Deportivo 6222 598
10 Deportivo Cali 5212 757
11 Once Caldas 5131 966
12 Fortaleza CEIF 6132 566
13 Independiente Santa Fe 4121 545
14 Internacional de Bogota 5122 575
15 Jaguares de Cordoba 5113 274
16 Deportivo Pereira 3021 012
17 Alianza 5023 472
18 Junior 4013 481
19 Boyaca Chico 4013 0101
20 Deportivo Pasto 5005 3100

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMillonariosInternacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima 2-0 W 1-2 L
America de Cali 1-3 L 0-2 L
Independiente Santa Fe 1-1 D 1-3 L
Jaguares de Cordoba 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Millonarios (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Millonarios

LDLWDLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-0 57 W
22/08 Aguilas Doradas
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-1 310 D
05/08 Deportivo Pasto
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-0 87 W
02/08 Junior
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-0 76 W
26/07 Atletico Bucaramanga
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-1 83 L
03/05 Alianza
Colombia Primera A
0-1 2-2 88 D
24/04 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-0 67 W
20/04 America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
0-2 1-3 25 L
12/04 Independiente Santa Fe
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-1 107 D
03/04 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-1 54 L

Internacional de Bogota

LWLLLLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/08 Deportivo Cali
Colombia Primera A
1-2 2-2 21 D
20/08 Cucuta Deportivo
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-1 710 D
09/08 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
0-1 1-2 73 L
06/08 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-0 82 W
26/07 America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-2 85 L
13/05 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
1-2 1-7 31 L
09/05 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
1-1 1-2 66 L
03/05 Independiente Santa Fe
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-3 14 L
27/04 Boyaca Chico
Colombia Primera A
3-0 4-0 25 W
21/04 Once Caldas
Colombia Primera A
0-1 1-2 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Millonarios win (66%). Probabilities: Millonarios 66%, draw 21%, Internacional de Bogota 12%.

How many goals are expected in Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Millonarios 2.28 · Internacional de Bogota 0.92), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.