Prediction: Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros
Team pages: Independiente Medellin · Llaneros
- Llaneros2-2Independiente Medellin
- Llaneros0-1Independiente Medellin
- Independiente Medellin3-0Llaneros
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 12% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Medellin: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Medellin | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Medellin 2–1–0 Llaneros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 11/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 28/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Medellin | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Cali | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Fortaleza CEIF | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Independiente Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Boyaca Chico | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Medellin | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Pasto | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Aguilas Doradas | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Boyaca Chico | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Alianza | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Medellin (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Medellin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Llaneros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 19/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 02/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Medellin win (63%). Probabilities: Independiente Medellin 63%, draw 24%, Llaneros 13%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Independiente Medellin 1.72 · Llaneros 0.64), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.