Football · Colombia Primera A · 01/09, 01:00
Prediction: Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira
Team pages: Deportivo Pasto · Deportivo Pereira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Deportivo Pasto1.18
Deportivo Pereira1.09
1X2
Deportivo Pasto
Draw
Deportivo Pereira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pasto
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pereira
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Pasto
3–1–2
Deportivo Pereira
(6 last)
- Deportivo Pereira2-2Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto4-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira1-0Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto2-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira0-1Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pereira2-1Deportivo Pasto
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Pereira (rating 1429 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Deportivo Pasto: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pasto | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pasto 3–1–2 Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 28/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 14/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 30/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 31/01/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 13/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Pasto |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Cali | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Fortaleza CEIF | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Independiente Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Boyaca Chico | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pasto | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Cali | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Tolima | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Pereira (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 29/03 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Pasto win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pasto 37%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pereira 32%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Deportivo Pasto 1.18 · Deportivo Pereira 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.