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Football · Colombia Primera A · 31/08, 03:20

Prediction: Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Team pages: Deportivo Cali · Atletico Bucaramanga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Deportivo Cali1.4
Atletico Bucaramanga0.91
1X2
47% 30% 23%
Deportivo Cali Draw Atletico Bucaramanga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cali 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWDWLWDL
Atletico Bucaramanga 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDLWDDWD
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cali 3–2–1 Atletico Bucaramanga (6 last)
  • Deportivo Cali2-0Atletico Bucaramanga
  • Atletico Bucaramanga0-0Deportivo Cali
  • Atletico Bucaramanga2-3Deportivo Cali
  • Atletico Bucaramanga3-1Deportivo Cali
  • Deportivo Cali0-0Atletico Bucaramanga
  • Deportivo Cali1-0Atletico Bucaramanga
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Cali 1577 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1488
Deportivo CaliDrawAtletico Bucaramanga
Our model47%30%23%
Market47%30%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1577 vs 1488).
  • H2H favours Deportivo Cali: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo CaliAtletico Bucaramanga
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.12 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.35.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali 3–2–1 Atletico Bucaramanga

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/05/26
Colombia Cup
Deportivo Cali2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
21/02/26
Colombia Primera A
Atletico Bucaramanga0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Cali
29/07/25
Colombia Primera A
Atletico Bucaramanga2-3
HT 0-2
Deportivo Cali
03/06/25
Colombia Cup
Atletico Bucaramanga3-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Cali
15/02/25
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Cali0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
27/10/24
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Cali1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 America de Cali 6510 15216
2 Llaneros 6321 7511
3 Millonarios 5311 6210
4 Deportes Tolima 5311 8610
5 Atletico Nacional Medellin 4301 739
6 Independiente Medellin 4301 759
7 Atletico Bucaramanga 5230 649
8 Aguilas Doradas 4220 648
9 Cucuta Deportivo 6222 598
10 Deportivo Cali 5212 757
11 Once Caldas 5131 966
12 Fortaleza CEIF 6132 566
13 Independiente Santa Fe 4121 545
14 Internacional de Bogota 5122 575
15 Jaguares de Cordoba 5113 274
16 Deportivo Pereira 3021 012
17 Alianza 5023 472
18 Junior 4013 481
19 Boyaca Chico 4013 0101
20 Deportivo Pasto 5005 3100

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo CaliAtletico Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional Medellin 1-2 L 0-2 L
Jaguares de Cordoba 2-0 W 2-2 D
Deportes Tolima 1-1 D 0-0 D
Boyaca Chico 0-1 L 5-0 W
Llaneros 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Cali

WDLWDWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
 0-1 1-2 28 L
24/08 Internacional de Bogota
Colombia Primera A
 2-1 2-2 41 D
09/08 Deportivo Pasto
Colombia Primera A
 1-0 2-0 38 W
02/08 Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 0-1 24 L
25/07 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 2-0 67 W
03/05 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
 0-1 1-1 38 D
26/04 America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 1-0 64 W
17/04 Boyaca Chico
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 0-1 55 L
12/04 Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 1-1 68 D
04/04 Junior
Colombia Primera A
 1-0 2-1 48 W

Atletico Bucaramanga

LWLDLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 0-0 17 D
09/08 Alianza
Colombia Primera A
 2-1 3-2 06 W
04/08 Cucuta Deportivo
Colombia Primera A
 1-1 1-1 311 D
31/07 Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 1-1 67 D
26/07 Millonarios
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 1-0 53 W
03/05 Fortaleza CEIF
Colombia Primera A
 0-1 1-2 33 L
25/04 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Primera A
 1-1 2-2 54 D
21/04 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
 0-0 0-2 43 L
13/04 Boyaca Chico
Colombia Primera A
 2-0 5-0 37 W
07/04 Aguilas Doradas
Colombia Primera A
 0-1 1-2 66 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali win (47%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali 47%, draw 30%, Atletico Bucaramanga 23%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Deportivo Cali 1.4 · Atletico Bucaramanga 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.