Football · Venezuela Cup · 18/08, 22:00
Prediction: Trujillanos vs Urena SC
Team pages: Trujillanos · Urena SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Trujillanos1.46
Urena SC0.91
1X2
Trujillanos
Draw
Urena SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trujillanos
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Urena SC
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trujillanos
3–3–0
Urena SC
(6 last)
- Trujillanos2-0Urena SC
- Urena SC1-1Trujillanos
- Trujillanos2-0Urena SC
- Urena SC0-3Trujillanos
- Urena SC0-0Trujillanos
- Urena SC0-0Trujillanos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trujillanos 1422 · Urena SC 1562
| Trujillanos | Draw | Urena SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urena SC (rating 1422 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Trujillanos: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trujillanos | Urena SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trujillanos 3–3–0 Urena SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Trujillanos | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Urena SC |
| 10/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 15/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Trujillanos | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Urena SC |
| 27/04/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 26/05/24 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 30/07/23 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 0-0 | Trujillanos |
Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urena SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Trujillanos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | CD Lara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trujillanos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
Urena SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 03/08 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 29/07 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/06 | CD Lara Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trujillanos vs Urena SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trujillanos win (50%). Probabilities: Trujillanos 50%, draw 27%, Urena SC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Trujillanos vs Urena SC?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Trujillanos 1.46 · Urena SC 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trujillanos vs Urena SC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.