Football · Venezuela Cup · 20/08, 01:00

Prediction: Atletico Avila vs Deportivo Miranda FC

Team pages: Atletico Avila · Deportivo Miranda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Atletico Avila0.81

Deportivo Miranda FC1.26

1X2

23% 30% 46%

Atletico Avila Draw Deportivo Miranda FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Avila 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Miranda FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Atletico Avila 0–3 Deportivo Miranda FC (3 last)

Atletico Avila0-1Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC1-0Atletico Avila
Atletico Avila0-2Deportivo Miranda FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Avila 1423 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1545

	Atletico Avila	Draw	Deportivo Miranda FC
Our model	23%	32%	46%
Market	24%	29%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Miranda FC (rating 1423 vs 1545).
H2H favours Deportivo Miranda FC: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Avila	Deportivo Miranda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.8	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	6.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.10

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.53 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	1.91 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.04

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:39 +9’	3.75	3.10	1.91
01:51 +7’	3.30▼	3.20▲	2.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:48	3.53	2.83	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Avila 0–0–3 Deportivo Miranda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Atletico Avila	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
03/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Avila
08/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Atletico Avila	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Miranda FC

Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academia Anzoategui FC	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Atletico Avila	1	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Avila	Deportivo Miranda FC
Dynamo Puerto FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Aragua	0-0 D	2-1 W
Mineros	1-1 D	4-3 W
Bolivar SC	0-0 D	0-2 L
Monagas II	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Miranda FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Atletico Avila

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-3	2	8	L
09/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/08	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	2	10	L
24/06	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Cup	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
07/06	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/05	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
22/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
17/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
09/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
03/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	4	8	L

Deportivo Miranda FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	4-3	4	9	W
02/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/07	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
06/06	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
31/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
24/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	4	11	D
16/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
10/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
25/04	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Avila vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Miranda FC win (46%). Probabilities: Atletico Avila 23%, draw 30%, Deportivo Miranda FC 46%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Avila vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Atletico Avila 0.81 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1.26), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Avila vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.