Football · Venezuela Cup · 20/08, 01:00

Prediction: CD Lara vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Team pages: CD Lara · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
CD Lara1.37
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1.18
1X2
40% 29% 31%
CD Lara Draw Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Lara 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLWLDW
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DWLLLDLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Lara 1528 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1455
CD LaraDrawDeportivo Rayo Zuliano
Our model40%29%31%
Market40%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Lara (rating 1528 vs 1455).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD LaraDeportivo Rayo Zuliano
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.10.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 52 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.65.7 / 0.4

Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Urena SC 1100 103
2 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1010 001
2 Trujillanos 1010 001
4 CD Lara 1001 010

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Lara

WDWWLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Real Frontera
Venezuela Segunda Division
2-0 2-0 57 W
02/08 Yaracuyanos
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-0 2-2 710 D
29/07 Atletico El Vigia
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-1 1-2 04 L
25/07 Atletico Barinas
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-1 4-1 85 W
24/06 Urena SC
Venezuela Cup
0-0 0-1 62 L
06/06 Urena SC
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-1 2-3 106 L
30/05 Barquisimeto
Venezuela Segunda Division
1-0 1-0 09 W
24/05 Zamora II
Venezuela Segunda Division
1-0 4-1 24 W
20/05 Academia Puerto Cabello II
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-1 1-1 76 D
16/05 Real Frontera
Venezuela Segunda Division
1-0 2-0 55 W

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

DWLLLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 0-2 17 L
10/08 Estudiantes Merida
Venezuela Primera Division
2-0 3-0 79 W
06/08 Academia Anzoategui FC
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 14 L
02/08 Zamora
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 1-2 61 L
24/06 Trujillanos
Venezuela Cup
0-0 0-0 33 D
25/04 Caracas
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 1-2 46 L
18/04 Metropolitanos FC
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 0-1 86 L
12/04 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-3 26 L
04/04 Trujillanos
Venezuela Primera Division
2-1 3-1 39 W
22/03 Portuguesa
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-1 310 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Lara vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Lara win (40%). Probabilities: CD Lara 40%, draw 29%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Lara vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

The model expects 2.54 goals (CD Lara 1.37 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Lara vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.