Prediction: Aragua vs Barquisimeto
Team pages: Aragua · Barquisimeto
| Aragua | Draw | Barquisimeto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aragua | Barquisimeto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0 | 6.5 / 0.6 |
Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yaracuyanos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Aragua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Barquisimeto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aragua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/06 | Caracas Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
Barquisimeto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 29/07 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 24/06 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aragua vs Barquisimeto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barquisimeto win (36%). Probabilities: Aragua 34%, draw 30%, Barquisimeto 36%.
How many goals are expected in Aragua vs Barquisimeto?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Aragua 1.1 · Barquisimeto 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Aragua vs Barquisimeto?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.